Le Mans
Lorient| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D33%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D33%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H38%D31%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two evenly matched lower-table sides: Le Mans have drawn three of four (leaky at the back but scoring), while Lorient are tighter defensively but toothless in attack under Dujeux's stuttering start. Home advantage offsets Lorient's marginally better points return, making a low-scoring draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
Le Mans have drawn three of four Ligue 1 games and both home matches ended 2-2, while Lorient are unbeaten away with two clean sheets; a tight contest with both sides scoring points to a 1-1 draw, with Lorient's away solidity giving them the narrowest edge overall.
Le Mans have shown resilience with multiple draws to start the campaign but continue to seek defensive stability. Facing a Lorient side managing key attacking absences, another closely contested stalemate is the most probable outcome.
Le Mans have home advantage and greater attacking output (7 goals, 2-2 vs Lens last week) but are defensively open, while Lorient sit slightly higher but are winless under Dujeux with a blunt attack (4 goals) and 11-game managerial winless run, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game where 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline.
Le Mans have been extremely draw-prone in their return to Ligue 1 (three draws in four matches, including a 2-2 at Lens last week), while Lorient under manager Alexandre Dujeux are on an 11-match winless Ligue 1 streak and missing key attackers Fadiga and Bamba. Home advantage tilts things toward Le Mans, but Lorient's inability to win and both sides' shared tendency toward stalemates make a 1-1 draw the single most likely scoreline, with a narrow Le Mans win as the next-best outcome.
Le Mans are unbeaten at home and score freely there but concede two per game and keep squandering leads, while Lorient have yet to concede an away goal this season with elite defensive numbers (2 clean sheets, league-best 13.8 interceptions/90) but a modest attack — a tight, low-margin contest where the draw is very live and Le Mans hold only a slight home edge.
Le Mans showed attacking threat in a 2-2 draw with Lens and have home advantage, while Lorient remain winless in 11 Ligue 1 matches under Dujeux and are missing key attackers Fadiga and Bamba.
Home advantage gives Le Mans a narrow edge, but their defensive vulnerability and Lorient’s limited attacking output make a tight contest likely. Injuries affecting both squads further increase the chance of a draw.
Le Mans have drawn all three of their home Ligue 1 matches this season (2-2, 1-1, 2-2), scoring and conceding in each, while Lorient are unbeaten away with zero goals conceded on the road and two clean sheets. Both teams are coming off 2-2 draws, and Lorient's defensive solidity away clashes with Le Mans' inability to convert home draws into wins, making a low-scoring stalemate the most probable outcome.
Le Mans have drawn 3 of 4 Ligue 1 matches and dropped a league-high 6 points from winning positions, while Lorient have kept clean sheets in all their away matches this season and boast the league's best interception rate—pointing to a tightly contested stalemate between two closely matched sides.
Both sides are heavily draw-prone early in the season, with Le Mans unbeaten at home but defensively leaky and Lorient defensively solid away (zero goals conceded on the road) yet unable to win under Dujeux. The 1-1 scoreline reflects two evenly matched, cautious sides likely to cancel each other out.
Le MansLorient