Le Mans
Lens| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–1 | H19%D25%A56% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H22%D28%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–2 | H19%D26%A55% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–1 | H20%D27%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H28%D32%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H20%D26%A54% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H26%D27%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H24%D27%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H23%D28%A49% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Newly promoted Le Mans have struggled to create at this level, while Lens carry far superior squad quality and have been the more convincing side early in the season despite a few thigh/hamstring absences. A low-scoring away win is the likeliest outcome, though Le Mans' home discipline keeps a draw a live possibility.
Lens have the stronger squad and superior attacking output despite recent league defeats, while promoted Le Mans are winless and have struggled to close out matches; expect a narrow away win, with Le Mans' home resilience keeping it competitive.
Lens possess superior top-flight pedigree and squad depth across all departments compared to Le Mans, making them clear favorites to secure a comfortable away victory.
Lens are reigning runners-up but arrive on two straight 1-goal defeats, heavily depleted in defence (Baidoo, Chavez, Nawrocki out, Sagnan suspended) and with 3-day rest after Champions League at Slavia Praha; promoted Le Mans are winless but unbeaten in 15 at Stade Marie-Marvingt, so a tight low-scoring Lens win is narrowly most likely.
Le Mans are newly promoted and have looked short of goals (Bourabaa netting their only strike per previews), while Lens remain a strong, established top-flight side despite a cluster of soft-tissue injury doubts. The visitors' superior squad depth and Ligue 1 know-how should see them edge a tight, low-scoring contest, though a draw remains a realistic outcome given the disruption to Lens's options.
Lens are significantly stronger on paper and have a favorable run of fixtures, while Le Mans are newly promoted and missing key attacking output. However, Lens' injury concerns in defense and Le Mans' home advantage create uncertainty, making a draw a realistic possibility.
Lens are the stronger side (reigning runners-up, league-leading 8.6 xG and six goals through three rounds), but they arrive on a two-game league losing streak, off a midweek Champions League trip to Prague, and with a heavily depleted squad (Nawrocki, Baidoo, Gurtner, Kadile out; Sagnan suspended; Chavez/Titraoui/Udol doubtful). Le Mans are winless but unbeaten in 16 straight home matches and concede little there, so a narrow Lens win with Le Mans scoring is the likeliest outcome, with the draw a live possibility.
Lens carries superior squad depth but faces a severe injury crisis affecting goalkeeper Gurtner, multiple defenders (Chavez, Udol, Baidoo), midfielder Titraoui, and forward Kadile, which significantly narrows the gap against newly-promoted Le Mans playing at home in their first Ligue 1 season.
Lens have the stronger top-flight pedigree and overall squad quality, making them favorites against newly promoted Le Mans. Several injury doubts for Lens and the hosts' home advantage keep the draw and upset probabilities meaningful.
Lens are the clearly stronger side and have been in good form over the opening weeks, but a significant injury crisis affecting their goalkeeper (Gurtner), multiple defenders (Baidoo, Kadile, Udol) and attackers (Chavez, Titraoui) severely weakens them. Le Mans have home advantage and should exploit Lens's depleted defence, but Lens's overall squad depth should still see them edge a tight, low-scoring contest.
Lens are clear quality favourites as last season's runners-up with elite xG and attack, but multiple injuries plus midweek CL fatigue blunt them against a newly-promoted Le Mans side that is unbeaten at home and has already taken points from two of three games. A narrow away win is the most probable outcome.
Lens are the established Ligue 1 side with significantly more top-flight experience and squad depth, and are widely expected to win despite several injury concerns (Chavez, Titraoui, Udol, Gurtner, Baidoo, Kadile). Le Mans, likely promoted, benefit from home advantage but lack the quality to contain a Lens side looking to build early-season momentum.
Lens remain the clearly superior side (last season's Ligue 1 runners-up) but carry significant absences and have lost two straight, while Le Mans have proven competitive at home with goals in every match, making this closer than the quality gap suggests.
Le MansLens