Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D31%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H32%D29%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H29%D31%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D33%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H26%D31%A43% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two mid/lower-table sides with little to separate them this early in the season; Brest carry a modest quality edge and a strong historical record in this fixture, but Le Havre's home advantage at the Stade Océan keeps it close in a typically low-scoring meeting.
Brest have produced far stronger attacking numbers (27 shots and 3.04 xG against Toulouse) and hold a clear Ligue 1 head-to-head edge, while Le Havre are winless in six at Stade Océane. Le Havre's defensive resilience and Brest's long run of conceding make an away win with both teams scoring the likeliest outcome.
Brest possess the superior squad depth and quality going forward, but Le Havre are traditionally resilient and defensively organized at the Stade Océane, pointing towards a tightly contested low-scoring encounter.
Brest are the stronger side on paper and arrive with improved away form (4pts from last 2 away), while Le Havre's Stade Oceane home advantage keeps it tight; historical dominance for Brest and both teams' low-scoring profiles point to a narrow away win rather than a home upset.
Stade Brestois 29 has historically dominated this fixture (unbeaten in 9 H2H matches with 8 clean sheets) and enters with strong recent form, having beaten Lorient and Marseille 2-0. Even away from home, Brest's superior squad quality outweighs Le Havre's home advantage, though Le Havre is likely to find the net given the venue.
Stade Brestois 29 have shown strong away form and a dominant historical record against Le Havre, including eight clean sheets in their last nine home matches against them. Le Havre's inconsistency and Brest's recent reinforcements further tilt the balance in favor of the away side.
Brest hold a strong H2H edge (Le Havre have lost 5 of the last 6 meetings) and carry the more dangerous attack despite losing Del Castillo, while Le Havre are defensively organised but goal-shy (0.5 goals/game) and missing Touré, Zagadou and Mambimbi. With Brest drawing twice already, Le Havre's habit of drawing (7 of last 11), and under 2.5 goals in the last five H2Hs, this shapes up as a tight, low-scoring game with a slight lean to the visitors.
Brest's historical dominance over Le Havre (unbeaten in 9 H2H meetings with 8 clean sheets) and improved away form make them favorites, but early-season variance and Le Havre's home advantage keep the draw probability substantial.
Brest appear to have the stronger squad and improving away performances, giving them a narrow edge. Le Havre's home advantage and the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring contest keep the draw highly plausible.
Both teams are winless early in the season (Le Havre 1pt, Brest 2pts) and their last five H2H meetings have all gone under 2.5 goals, with xG projecting just 1.94 total. Brest have been the better travellers recently (4 pts from last two away) and won the reverse fixture 2-0 in March, but their 12-game conceding streak and Le Havre's home resilience in this fixture (1-0 win last October) keep this tight.
Early-season Ligue 1 match with no prior results available; Brest typically stronger side historically and better away form trends, but Le Havre at home keeps it competitive with draws common in such fixtures. Most likely a low-scoring stalemate.
Brest have historically dominated this head-to-head fixture with an exceptional defensive record against Le Havre, and their improved away form heading into this season strengthens their case as slight favourites despite Le Havre's home advantage. With both teams starting a new campaign on zero points and no current form to draw on, Brest's superior recent pedigree and squad depth tips the balance.
Brest are the stronger side with dominant H2H form (5 wins from last 6), but Le Havre's home resilience and tendency to draw (7 of last 11 league games) combined with Brest's loss of key creator Del Castillo on deadline day and the historical low-scoring trend between these teams point toward a tight, low-scoring affair.
Le HavreStade Brestois 29