Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg AI Predictions — Ligue 1

Regular Season - 3·6 Sep · 13:00 UTC·Stade de l'Aube·✓ Completed
Estac Troyes flagEstac Troyes
26
Strasbourg flagStrasbourg

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Estac Troyes
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 46% · D 15% · A 38%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Estac Troyes2.99
Draw3.46
Strasbourg2.44

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
27%26%47%1-2✓ hit
39%31%30%1-1✗ miss
30%28%42%1-2✓ hit
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
44%28%28%1-1✗ miss
30%35%35%1-1✗ miss
37%28%35%1-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
25%28%47%1-1✓ hit
30%28%42%1-1✓ hit
28%27%45%1-2✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
33%35%32%1-1✗ miss
37%34%29%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 26% · A 47%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 31% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 44% · D 28% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1-1
H 30% · D 35% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 28% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 25% · D 28% · A 47%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagDRAW1-1
H 33% · D 35% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 34% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 3). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg played?
The match kicked off 6 Sep · 13:00 UTC at Stade de l'Aube. It is part of the Ligue 1 on footballarena.ai's Ligue 1 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
No. The AI consensus picked Estac Troyes, but the match finished 2–6 — Strasbourg. 46% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Of 13 models: 46% picked Estac Troyes, 15% a draw, and 38% Strasbourg. The consensus pick was Estac Troyes; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Estac Troyes 2.99 · Draw 3.46 · Strasbourg 2.44. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.