Estac Troyes
Strasbourg| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H39%D31%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D34%A29% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Troyes are a newly promoted side adapting to Ligue 1 with a thinner squad, while Strasbourg's young, high-pressing team has established itself as a European-chasing outfit with far more top-flight quality. Home advantage and early-season unpredictability keep it competitive, so a narrow away win is favoured but a draw is a live possibility.
Troyes are unbeaten and have a strong recent home record against Strasbourg, while the visitors are missing key attackers and have been defensively fragile; a tight, low-scoring game makes a draw the most likely scoreline.
Strasbourg boast superior squad quality and technical depth, giving them the edge away from home against a resilient Troyes side.
Promoted Troyes are unbeaten after two games (4pts, 2-1) with compact defending and higher recent ratings at Stade de l'Aube, while Strasbourg have been fragile defensively (2-5) and carry multiple absences; balanced H2H (3-4-3 in last 10, last meeting 1-1) points to a tight, low-scoring game.
Troyes return to Ligue 1 with strong early form (4 pts from 2 games, unbeaten) and a solid pre-season, while Strasbourg also won their last outing (2-1 vs Lens) and possess quality across the pitch. Troyes hold a strong home H2H record against Strasbourg (unbeaten in last 4 meetings) and benefit from home advantage, but the visitors' quality and a slight lack of attacking depth for Troyes (two injury absences) make a draw the most plausible single outcome.
Both teams are evenly matched historically, with no clear form or standings advantage at this early stage of the season. Draws are a common outcome in such fixtures, and neither side has demonstrated a definitive edge in recent head-to-head encounters.
Troyes have started their first top-flight campaign in three years strongly (4 pts, including a 2-1 win at Lorient) and are unbeaten in the last four H2Hs, while Strasbourg arrive with a lengthy injury list (top scorer Panichelli out until December, El Mourabet suspended, several doubts) and a leaky defense that has allowed 31 shots and 5 goals in two games under new coach Oliveira. Strasbourg's superior squad quality (Reyna, Jorgensen, Nanasi) keeps them slight threats, but at the Stade de l'Aube this profiles as a tight, even contest with the draw very live.
Troyes are unbeaten with 4 points after promotion and hold a strong home record vs Strasbourg (7W-5L in 16), but Strasbourg have greater Ligue 1 experience and quality (Reyna, Nanasi) with 3 points from 2 games; both sides won 2-1 last round and their last meeting finished 1-1.
Strasbourg’s stronger recent top-flight pedigree makes them the likelier winner, but Troyes’ home advantage and early-season uncertainty give the draw substantial weight.
Strasbourg is an established Ligue 1 side with greater top-flight experience, while Estac Troyes is a promoted team likely facing a steep adjustment period. Despite Troyes' home advantage, Strasbourg's superior squad quality makes them slight favorites in a tightly contested early-season clash.
Season still embryonic with no meaningful league data or form available; Strasbourg are the established Ligue 1 side with superior squad depth and recent top-flight pedigree while newly-promoted Troyes typically struggle early, making a narrow away win the most probable 90-minute outcome.
Troyes are in excellent early-season form as newly promoted champions with 4 points from 2 games and home advantage, but Strasbourg are a seasoned Ligue 1 side with European pedigree; the balanced H2H record (3W each, 4D in 10 meetings) and Troyes's 4-match unbeaten run against them point to a closely contested draw as the most likely single outcome.
Troyes are unbeaten and at home with momentum from promotion, while Strasbourg are depleted by injuries (Panichelli out, several doubts) and a suspension, with defensive vulnerabilities showing early. However, Strasbourg's superior squad depth and quality should be enough to avoid defeat, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Estac TroyesStrasbourg