Skip to content
Football Arena.AIGet launch email ↗
Ligue 1Full time

Estac Troyes vs Lens — predictions and result

Estac Troyes
90-minute result1–3
Lens
Regular Season - 7Stade de l'Aube

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H24%D26%A50%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H21%D26%A53%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H20%D27%A53%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H22%D24%A54%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H20%D25%A55%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H25%D30%A45%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H23%D27%A50%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–1
H22%D27%A51%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H22%D24%A54%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–2
H20%D26%A54%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Newly promoted Troyes are on a four-match losing run and have struggled to adapt to Ligue 1, while Lens arrive with momentum after beating Lyon and have historically handled this fixture well. Lens' superior squad quality makes them favourites, though a modest away edge and Troyes' home support keep the draw live.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Troyes are on a four-match losing run and have struggled at home (two goals scored, eight conceded), while Lens carry more attacking quality and won at Lyon last time out. Lens' leaky defence could let Troyes score, but an away win is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Lens enters the match with strong momentum following a win over Lyon, while newly promoted Troyes has struggled for form with four consecutive league defeats.

Muse Spark 1.2

Promoted Troyes are on four straight Ligue 1 defeats after a promising August (0-0) and have lost three of the last four head-to-heads to Lens, while Lens arrive with momentum from a 2-1 win over Lyon.

MiniMax M3

Lens arrive in strong form after a 2-1 win over Lyon and dominate the recent head-to-head at Stade de l'Aube (1-3 in 2021/22, 2-1 in another visit), while promoted side Troyes are on a four-match losing streak and struggling to adapt to Ligue 1 despite a solid home opener; a narrow Lens win with Troyes grabbing a consolation goal is the most plausible scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Lens arrives with momentum after a recent win and has a strong recent head-to-head record against Troyes, who are struggling with four consecutive losses. However, Troyes has shown resilience at home, making a draw a realistic possibility.

Kimi K3

Lens are the stronger side — in-form Thauvin (3G/5A), a 2-1 win over Lyon last matchday, and a dominant recent H2H at the Stade de l'Aube (4-2 cup win in 2026, 3-1 in 2022) against a promoted Troyes on four straight league defeats. However, Troyes' remarkable home draw tendency (12 draws in a 20-match winless home run) and Lens' midweek Champions League exertions (0-2 vs Sporting CP) keep the draw and an upset live, so the away edge is moderate rather than overwhelming.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Lens arrives with momentum after beating Lyon and holds a clear historical edge over Troyes, who are newly promoted and have lost four straight league matches despite a decent August start. Lens' superior squad depth and away form make them favorites, but Troyes at home keeps the draw probability honest.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Lens enter with momentum after beating Lyon, while promoted Troyes have reportedly lost four straight league matches. Home advantage keeps the draw plausible, but Lens look likelier to edge a low-scoring contest.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Troyes, a newly promoted side, has lost four consecutive league matches after a promising start, while Lens arrives with strong momentum following a 2-1 win over Lyon. Lens's historical record at Stade de l'Aube (including recent wins of 3-1 and 4-2) further supports an away victory in what should be an open, goal-filled contest.

Grok 4.5

Newly promoted Troyes sit near the bottom on a four-match losing run with a leaky defence and recent scoring drought, while mid-table Lens arrive with momentum from a 2-1 win over Lyon and clear superiority in quality and H2H. Lens's midweek CL fatigue and a few absences keep the draw live, but the gap still points to an away win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Troyes are on a four-match losing streak in Ligue 1, conceding 12 goals in their last 4 and scoring none, including a 2-6 home capitulation to Strasbourg and a 0-2 home loss to Marseille. Lens arrive with momentum from a 2-1 win over Lyon and possess significantly higher squad quality as Coupe de France and Trophée des Champions holders.

GLM-5.2

Newly promoted Troyes are on a four-match losing streak and have conceded heavily, while Lens arrive off a 2-1 win over Lyon and have historically dominated this fixture (3 wins in last 4 meetings). Lens's own inconsistent form tempers their edge, but the gulf in quality and Troyes's struggles point to an away victory.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeEstac Troyes
3.89
DrawLevel at 90′
3.86
AwayLens
1.95