Valencia
Real Sociedad| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H29%D33%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D33%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H31%D29%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H31%D31%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D28%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H32%D35%A33% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Valencia are struggling (18th, just 4 points) but have some momentum under new coach Óscar Sánchez after the win at Alavés, while Real Sociedad are marginally the better side and in mid-table form yet face a Mestalla trip three days after European action against Bournemouth. Tight, low-scoring game with a high draw likelihood.
Valencia's lengthy injury list and goalless home run blunt their attacking threat, while Real Sociedad are also low on confidence after back-to-back defeats. A tight, low-scoring game is likely, with 1-1 the most probable scoreline.
Valencia gained momentum under new manager Óscar Sánchez with a recent win, but face a quality Real Sociedad side coming off European action, pointing towards a closely fought, low-scoring draw at Mestalla.
Valencia's new-manager bounce (1-0 at Alaves) and Mestalla support are offset by 18th-place form and a deep 5-4-1 block, while 8th-placed Real Sociedad have superior quality and chance creation despite 3-day rest after Bournemouth, making a low-scoring away edge most likely.
Real Sociedad sit 8th on 7 points versus Valencia's 18th on 4, but the hosts gain a small boost from home advantage and a new-manager bounce after Óscar Sánchez's 1-0 debut win at Alavés; Real Sociedad also likely suffer midweek fatigue from their Bournemouth European fixture on Sept 17. The combination of Valencia's fragile form and Sociedad's slightly higher quality with reduced freshness points to a tight, low-scoring affair, with 1-1 being the modal scoreline while the draw deserves a full ~30% weight.
Two evenly matched sides in poor form: Valencia (4 pts, 18th) ended a four-game losing streak with a new-manager-bounce 1-0 win at Alavés but carry a seven-man injury list including several defenders, while Real Sociedad (7 pts) arrive on back-to-back defeats to Atlético (0-3) and Bournemouth in midweek Europa League action, giving Valencia a rest and home edge that roughly cancels out La Real's slightly stronger squad. Last season's Mestalla meeting finished 1-1, and with little to separate the teams a tight, low-scoring game with an elevated draw chance looks most likely.
Valencia sit 18th with 4 points after six games but earned a 1-0 away win at Alavés under new manager Óscar Sánchez; Real Sociedad are 8th with 7 points and average 2.83 goals per match. Valencia's 1-5-4-1 setup and poor home record vs La Real (no back-to-back home wins since 2018) suggest a tight, low-scoring affair with the visitors slightly favoured.
Real Sociedad appear to have the stronger overall squad, but Valencia’s home advantage and positive start under Óscar Sánchez narrow the gap. A tight, low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline.
Real Sociedad sit comfortably in 8th with 7 points and a stronger squad featuring Oyarzabal and Oskarsson, while Valencia languish in 18th with just 4 points and have not won consecutive home matches against La Real since 2018. However, Valencia's new-manager bounce from a 1-0 win at Alavés and home advantage keep this competitive, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely single scoreline despite Real Sociedad being clear favourites.
Both sides are inconsistent early in the season (Valencia 18th on 4pts after a first win in five; Sociedad 12th on 7pts coming off league and Europa losses), with Valencia hampered by a long injury list but boosted by home Mestalla edge and recent momentum, while Sociedad have quality yet fatigue and defensive leaks away. A tight, low-event stalemate is the clearest single outcome amid mutual frailty.
Valencia sit 18th with just 4 points and a lengthy injury list, though a new-manager bounce produced a 1-0 win at Alavés; Real Sociedad, despite two straight defeats (including a Europa League loss to Bournemouth), have the stronger squad depth and attacking quality with Remiro, Guedes, and Sucic returning, making them marginal favourites despite playing away at Mestalla.
Both sides are in poor form — Valencia sit 18th with a lengthy injury list but have home advantage at Mestalla, while Real Sociedad arrive on a two-match losing streak with Europa League fatigue. The even H2H record (12 draws in last 40 meetings, 1-1 at Mestalla last season) and mutual struggles point to a tight, low-scoring draw.
ValenciaReal Sociedad