Valencia
Athletic Club| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D31%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D31%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H26%D27%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H29%D31%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D29%A44% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Valencia are struggling near the relegation zone with just one win in five under Aguirre, while Athletic sit comfortably mid-table and arrive fresher having played fewer minutes, giving the visitors a slight edge despite Mestalla's hostility. Both sides are low-scoring and tightly matched in recent H2H, so a 1-1 draw is the single most likely scoreline with Athletic the marginal favourites to edge it.
Athletic Club are in better form and arrive fresher, but they are missing key attackers Nico Williams and Oihan Sancet (with Laporte a doubt), while Valencia have home advantage and new-manager urgency despite their poor run; this points to a tight, low-scoring game with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
Valencia have struggled for consistency in the early part of the season under new defensive guidance, while a well-rested Athletic Club bring intensity but may find breaking down the hosts at Mestalla challenging.
Athletic arrive much fresher having played two games fewer and only 13 minutes last time out to sustain Terzic's high-intensity press, while 19th-placed Valencia are still adapting to Aguirre's defensive system and have taken just five points from their last fifteen at Mestalla.
Valencia sit19th with only 5 points and a poor 1W-1D-3L recent run, while Athletic Club (10th, 8pts) arrive fresher having played fewer matches and rested heavily in their previous outing. Valencia's home advantage keeps this competitive, but Athletic's superior form and rest edge tilt the balance toward the visitors, with both teams likely to score based on Valencia's open defensive setup.
Athletic Club arrive at Mestalla in notably better shape — mid-table form, well-rested after playing minimal minutes in their previous match — while Valencia sit 19th with just five points and are still absorbing Aguirre's defensive principles. Athletic's historical struggles away from home and an expected open, both-teams-to-score contest keep the draw and a narrow home result live, but the freshness and form edge makes an away win the most likely outcome, with 1-1 the single most probable scoreline.
Athletic Club arrive better rested (two games fewer played, only 13 minutes in last match) and sit 10th with 8 points versus Valencia's 19th place on 5 points; Valencia's poor home form (1W-1D-3L recent five) and need for a perfect performance make Athletic the slight favorite in an open, both-teams-to-score contest.
Athletic Club appear stronger and should benefit from greater freshness, while Valencia's recent defensive struggles reduce confidence in their home advantage. Valencia still carry enough attacking threat at Mestalla to make both teams scoring likely.
Athletic Club arrive well-rested (just 13 minutes in their previous match) and sit comfortably in 10th with 8 points under new coach Terzić, making them clear favorites over a struggling Valencia side 19th with just 5 points. However, Valencia showed attacking life in a 2-2 draw vs Racing in their last outing, and Athletic's tendency toward tight, low-scoring games (60% under 2.5) suggests a narrow, competitive affair where a 1-1 draw is the single most likely scoreline.
Athletic sit higher with a steadier unbeaten run and fresher legs after the abandoned Rayo game, but key absences (Nico Williams, Sancet) blunt their attack while Valencia show early Aguirre stabilisation at Mestalla after a dreadful start. A low-scoring draw is the clearest single outcome.
Valencia sit 19th with just 5 points and have won only twice this season, while Athletic Club are rested (having played fewer matches) and arrive 10th with 8 points playing energetic Terzic-style football. Mestalla's home atmosphere keeps this competitive and both teams should score, but Athletic's superior form and freshness make them clear favorites.
Athletic Club arrive fresher, better-placed (8 pts from 6 games vs Valencia's 5 from 8), and with superior squad quality, but Aguirre's first home match and defensive pragmatism at Mestalla should keep Valencia competitive enough to make this a tight contest rather than a rout.
ValenciaAthletic Club