Sevilla
Atletico Madrid| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H25%D29%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H30%D32%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H29%D26%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H34%D27%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H32%D31%A37% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Atletico have far greater squad depth and quality (Sorloth, Baena, Almada, Lookman) than a rebuilt, financially constrained Sevilla, though Simeone's side have again looked defensively leaky early on and dropped points at Villarreal. Sevilla's home intensity at the Pizjuan and their winning start keep the draw live, but the visitors should edge a tight game.
Sevilla's fast start and strong home H2H edge offset Atletico's deeper squad, but with Alvarez, Sorloth and Le Normand absent for the visitors a tight, low-scoring game is likely, making 1-1 the most probable scoreline.
Atletico Madrid possess superior attacking firepower, but Sevilla's home intensity at the Sánchez-Pizjuán should keep this competitive throughout.
Sevilla enters the match in strong form with a recent winning streak and home advantage, but they are facing a superior Atletico Madrid side. Atletico's offensive threat is high, though their defense has shown vulnerability, making a competitive draw or a narrow away win the most likely outcomes.
Sevilla's strong early home momentum (two straight wins, four of last five) meets an Atletico side whose defensive structure has looked vulnerable after the 2-2 with Villarreal, while Sevilla's makeshift centre-backs (Gudelj/Salas) against Atletico's new attack (Sorloth, Lookman, Baena) points to both teams scoring in a tight home-edge game.
Atletico Madrid holds the edge on overall squad quality and a recent late equalizer from Giuliano Simeone shows their attacking threat, but Sevilla's two-match winning run and home resilience, combined with Atletico's defensive vulnerabilities in the early season, keep this close. Sevilla's makeshift backline featuring Gudelj and Kike Salas against Simeone's attack tilts the marginal advantage to the visitors, while a tight, low-scoring contest is most likely.
Sevilla's resilience at home and recent form (four wins in their last five) balances Atletico Madrid's attacking threat and historical strength, but their defensive vulnerabilities and Sevilla's direct attacking style make a draw the most evenly poised outcome.
Atletico's superior attacking depth (Sorloth, Lookman, Baena, Almada) should trouble a makeshift Sevilla backline built around Gudelj and Kike Salas, making the visitors slight favorites despite Sevilla's strong two-game winning start at home. However, Atletico's own defense has looked unusually vulnerable early in the campaign (2-2 vs Villarreal), which keeps Sevilla's home upset and the draw very much alive.
Sevilla's strong home form (four wins in last five) and Atletico's early-season defensive vulnerability give the hosts a slight edge, though Atletico's potent attack (Sorloth, Lookman, Baena) makes a high-scoring draw equally plausible.
Atletico have the stronger squad and enough attacking quality to exploit Sevilla’s makeshift back line. Sevilla’s home resilience and recent winning run keep the draw and home-win chances significant.
Sevilla are in strong home form (four wins in last five) and will exploit Atletico's unusually vulnerable early-season defense with direct running from wide areas, but Atletico's superior squad quality (Lookman, Sorloth, Almada) and Sevilla's makeshift backline keep the visitors as narrow favorites in a tightly contested, goal-sharing encounter.
Atletico remain the stronger side with superior squad depth and attacking threat even away, while Sevilla’s early home resilience and recent wins keep them competitive but likely short. A low-scoring away win is the single most probable 90-minute outcome given Atletico’s typical control.
Sevilla have started the season superbly with six points from two matches including a 3-1 win at San Mamés, hold a dominant home H2H record (home team won 6 of the last 7 meetings), and face an Atletico side missing Le Normand (suspended) and likely without Sørloth and potentially Alvarez. Atletico's defensive frailties—two penalties conceded vs Villarreal—play into Sevilla's hands at the Sánchez Pizjuán, though Simeone's squad quality keeps this very close.
Sevilla are on a strong run at home with four wins in five, but Atletico's superior squad quality and attacking threat (Giuliano Simeone, Sorloth) make them slight favourites. Atletico's early-season defensive vulnerability against Sevilla's direct approach points to a tight, closely contested match where a draw is highly plausible.
SevillaAtletico Madrid