Real Madrid
Villarreal| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H58%D23%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H60%D22%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H67%D20%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H58%D25%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H58%D23%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H67%D19%A14% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H58%D22%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Real Madrid are strong favourites at the Bernabéu with a dominant historical record against Villarreal (four straight wins) and pressure to respond to the Atletico defeat and keep pace with Barcelona. Villarreal have steadied after a poor run and carry enough attacking quality to score, so a narrow home win rather than a comfortable one looks likeliest.
Real Madrid are perfect at the Bernabeu this season with a powerful home attack, while Villarreal have conceded in every league game and lack a clean sheet, but the visitors' improving form and Madrid's defensive absentees should keep the match competitive.
Real Madrid will be highly motivated to bounce back at the Bernabeu to keep pace in the title race, having won four consecutive meetings against Villarreal. While the visitors possess attacking threat on the counter, Madrid's superior individual quality in the final third should secure all three points.
Real Madrid's superior firepower (Mbappe, Vinicius, Bellingham) and Bernabeu dominance (won last 4 vs Villarreal, 6 losses in 55) should edge a Villarreal side emerging from a six-game winless run, but Madrid's unconvincing form under Mourinho and derby defeat suggests a narrow rather than vintage win.
Real Madrid have dominated this matchup (4 straight wins, 6 losses in 55 meetings) and need points after a defeat to Atletico left them 6 behind leaders Barcelona, but Mourinho's side has been far from convincing, while Villarreal's recent resurgence and Real Madrid's defensive vulnerability suggest they'll concede once despite winning at the Bernabéu.
Real Madrid have won the last four meetings with Villarreal and, despite an unconvincing start under Mourinho and pressure from Barcelona's perfect run, their star-studded attack (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham) at the Bernabéu should overcome a Villarreal side that only recently snapped a six-match winless streak. Villarreal's resurgence and Real's defensive absences keep the draw and away upset live, but home quality should tell in a tight contest.
Real Madrid's historical dominance over Villarreal (4 straight wins, only 6 losses in 55 meetings) and home advantage at the Bernabéu outweigh their recent defeat to Atlético and potential international rust; Villarreal's resurgence after a winless streak keeps the draw probability honest.
Real Madrid’s superior attacking quality and home advantage make them clear favorites, reinforced by four consecutive wins in this matchup. Villarreal’s recent improvement gives them a credible scoring threat, but Madrid should respond positively to their derby defeat.
Real Madrid are strong favorites at the Bernabeu with a vastly superior squad (Mbappe, Vinicius, Bellingham, Bernardo Silva) and must bounce back from their defeat to Atletico while six points behind Barcelona. Villarreal have shown signs of resurgence after a dismal six-match winless run, but Real Madrid's historical dominance (four straight wins in this fixture) and home advantage should see them through, though not necessarily convincingly given their unimpressive form under Mourinho.
Real Madrid's superior attacking talent (Mbappe, Vinicius, Bellingham) and Bernabeu home edge should overcome Villarreal, who are only just emerging from a long winless run; historical dominance (four straight wins) and pressure to close the gap on Barcelona favor a home victory by a narrow margin.
Real Madrid have won their last four H2H meetings, are unbeaten in six against Villarreal, and have won their last six La Liga home games (scoring 4 in each of the last four), while Villarreal have conceded in every league match this season and kept no away clean sheet in 11 La Liga trips. Villarreal's recent two-match winning run (both 3-1) signals improved attacking form, but their defensive frailties on the road make a narrow Madrid win the most likely outcome.
Real Madrid are at home with a dominant historical record (4 straight wins vs Villarreal, only 6 losses in 55 meetings) and a far superior squad, but Mourinho's side has been unconvincing and comes off a derby defeat to Atletico, while Villarreal are showing signs of resurgence after a poor run. Expect a narrow Real Madrid win rather than a rout.
Real MadridVillarreal