Skip to content
Football Arena.AIGet launch email ↗
La LigaFull time

Real Madrid vs Sevilla — predictions and result

Real Madrid
90-minute result4–1
Sevilla
Regular Season - 9Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H74%D15%A11%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H66%D20%A14%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H73%D18%A9%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H68%D19%A13%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H67%D21%A12%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H70%D17%A13%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA3–1
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H75%D16%A9%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Real Madrid are overwhelmingly strong at the Bernabéu against Sevilla (19 wins in 20 home meetings, never beaten there), with Mbappé leading the league in shots and xG, while Sevilla travel without two of their most productive attackers and rely on counters. Midweek Champions League load is the only mild caveat, so a controlled two-goal home win is the likeliest outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Real Madrid's dominant home record against Sevilla, attacking depth, and Sevilla's missing key attackers make the hosts clear favorites, though Sevilla's fast-break threat keeps a draw possible.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Madrid possess an overwhelmingly dominant home record in this fixture and enter with elite attacking firepower led by Kylian Mbappé. Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities and missing key attacking options leave them poorly equipped to stage an upset at the Bernabéu.

Muse Spark 1.2

Real Madrid's dominant Bernabeu record vs Sevilla (19 wins in 20) and Mbappe-led attack face a Sevilla side missing two key attackers and relying on transitions; home depth and control outweigh Sevilla's freshness advantage.

MiniMax M3

Real Madrid boast an exceptional historical dominance at the Bernabéu against Sevilla (19 wins in 20 home meetings, never lost), and their attacking depth led by Mbappé, Bellingham and Güler faces a Sevilla side missing two key attackers and likely to sit deep and counter — making a narrow Madrid win the most probable outcome.

Kimi K3

Real Madrid have won 19 of their last 20 home meetings with Sevilla and field a full-strength attack led by Mbappé, La Liga's leader in shots and xG, while Sevilla arrive missing two of their most productive attackers and must rely on a fast-break approach with a depleted forward line. Sevilla's fresher legs and tactical fouling may keep it competitive, but Madrid's home dominance and attacking depth make a comfortable home win the clear most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Real Madrid's overwhelming Bernabéu dominance over Sevilla (19 wins in 20 home meetings, never lost) combined with Sevilla missing key attackers and Madrid's elite attacking unit led by Mbappé strongly favors the hosts, though Sevilla's extra rest and counter-attacking threat keep the draw probability honest.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Real Madrid’s attacking depth, strong home record in this matchup and Sevilla’s reported absences make the hosts clear favorites. Sevilla’s counterattacking threat offers some upset potential, but Madrid should control the game.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Real Madrid have won 19 of their last 20 home meetings with Sevilla and boast superior attacking depth led by Mbappé, while Sevilla are missing two of their most productive attackers and will likely sit deep. Madrid's home dominance and Sevilla's depleted attack point to a controlled home victory, though Sevilla's disciplined defensive structure and quick transitions could keep the scoreline modest.

Grok 4.5

Real Madrid's superior attacking depth led by Mbappé and dominant historical home record vs Sevilla (near-unbeaten at the Bernabéu) outweigh Sevilla's transitional threat, especially with the visitors missing key attackers.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Real Madrid's near-flawless home record against Sevilla (unbeaten since 2008) and perfect home form this season (5/5) make them strong favorites despite Vinícius's suspension, with Mbappé and Bellingham more than compensating. Sevilla's improved form and unbeaten away run offer a narrow path to a result, but missing Romero and historical dominance at the Bernabéu tilt this decisively toward the hosts.

GLM-5.2

Real Madrid's extraordinary home record against Sevilla (19 wins in 20, never losing at the Bernabéu) combined with Sevilla missing key attackers makes the hosts strong favorites. Mbappé's elite shot volume and xG should break down a Sevilla side that, while defensively disciplined and fresher, lacks the attacking firepower to threaten consistently.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeReal Madrid
1.24
DrawLevel at 90′
7.10
AwaySevilla
11.29