Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 1·26 Aug · 19:00 UTC·Bernabéu·✓ Completed
Real Madrid flagReal Madrid
41
Real Sociedad flagReal Sociedad

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Real Madrid
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
2-0
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Real Madrid1.32
Draw5.97
Real Sociedad8.89

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
73%17%10%2-0✓ hit
60%22%18%2-0✓ hit
73%18%9%2-0✓ hit
70%19%11%2-0✓ hit
68%20%12%2-0✓ hit
68%20%12%2-0✓ hit
66%20%14%2-0✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
70%18%12%2-0✓ hit
55%25%20%2-1✓ hit
60%23%17%2-0✓ hit
72%17%11%2-0✓ hit
65%22%13%2-1✓ hit
72%18%10%2-0✓ hit
66%19%15%2-0✓ hit
62%22%16%2-0✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
62%21%17%2-1✓ hit
70%18%12%2-0✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME2-0
H 73% · D 17% · A 10%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-0
H 60% · D 22% · A 18%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2-0
H 73% · D 18% · A 9%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-0
H 70% · D 19% · A 11%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-0
H 68% · D 20% · A 12%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2-0
H 68% · D 20% · A 12%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-0
H 66% · D 20% · A 14%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME2-0
H 70% · D 18% · A 12%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 55% · D 25% · A 20%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-0
H 60% · D 23% · A 17%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-0
H 72% · D 17% · A 11%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 65% · D 22% · A 13%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME2-0
H 72% · D 18% · A 10%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-0
H 66% · D 19% · A 15%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-0
H 62% · D 22% · A 16%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 62% · D 21% · A 17%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-0
H 70% · D 18% · A 12%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad in the La Liga (Regular Season - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad played?
The match kicked off 26 Aug · 19:00 UTC at Bernabéu. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Real Madrid, and the match finished 4–1. 100% of 17 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Of 17 models: 100% picked Real Madrid, 0% a draw, and 0% Real Sociedad. The consensus pick was Real Madrid; the most-backed exact score was 2-0.
What were the betting odds for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Real Madrid 1.32 · Draw 5.97 · Real Sociedad 8.89. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.