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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad — predictions and result

Real Madrid
90-minute result4–1
Real Sociedad
Regular Season - 1Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H73%D17%A10%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H73%D18%A9%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–0
H70%D19%A11%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H66%D20%A14%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H70%D18%A12%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H60%D23%A17%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H72%D17%A11%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H72%D18%A10%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H66%D19%A15%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H62%D21%A17%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H70%D18%A12%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Real Madrid are at home with a strong attacking lineup (Mbappe, Vinicius, Bellingham) and have won the last six La Liga meetings, conceding just twice; Real Sociedad struggle to create chances, making a Madrid win the clear favorite though La Real can grab a goal.

Claude Opus 5

Real Madrid at the Bernabeu with a strengthened squad (Mbappe, Vinicius, Bellingham, plus new signings) have dominated this fixture, winning the last six league meetings while conceding just twice; Real Sociedad remain in transition and struggled to create chances in their opener.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Real Madrid are strong at the Bernabeu, have won the last six La Liga meetings with Sociedad while conceding only twice, and Sociedad have struggled to turn possession into chances. That points to a controlled home win.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Real Madrid boast an incredibly strong attacking lineup featuring Mbappé, Vinícius, and Bellingham, and have won their last six league meetings against Real Sociedad. With La Real struggling to create chances in their recent outing, a comfortable home victory at the Bernabéu is highly likely.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Real Madrid enter this rescheduled fixture boasting a dominant head-to-head record against Real Sociedad, having won six consecutive La Liga encounters against La Real. Powered by an elite attacking unit featuring Kylian Mbappé, Jude Bellingham, and Vinícius Júnior alongside Santiago Bernabéu advantage, Los Blancos should comfortably control the match against a visitor that struggles to generate high-quality chances.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Madrid boast immense attacking firepower at the Santiago Bernabéu led by Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, and Bellingham. Real Sociedad struggle to create enough high-quality chances against elite opposition, giving the hosts a clear advantage.

Gemma 4 31B

Real Madrid enters this rescheduled opener with a strong squad including Mbappé and Bellingham, and a dominant recent head-to-head record against Sociedad. Real Sociedad has struggled to create high-quality chances, making a home win the most likely outcome at the Bernabéu.

Muse Spark 1.2

Real Madrid at the Bernabeu off a 2-1 win over Espanyol with Bellingham, Mbappe and Vinicius firing and have won the last six league meetings conceding just two goals, while Real Sociedad struggled to create chances despite possession against Betis and must take risks away from home.

MiniMax M3

Real Madrid are heavy favorites at the Bernabéu with a star-studded attack (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham) and a historically dominant record against Real Sociedad, who have lost the last six league meetings while conceding just two goals total. Real Sociedad's struggles to create chances make an away upset unlikely, though the draw probability reflects the inherent variance in any single match.

Mistral Large 3

Real Madrid enters the match with a stronger squad on paper, recent form favoring their attacking prowess, and a historical edge over Real Sociedad in La Liga meetings. However, Sociedad's tactical discipline and potential to exploit counter-attacks keep the draw and away win within reasonable probability.

Kimi K2.6

Real Madrid arrive with momentum after winning their opener and have dominated the last six league meetings with Real Sociedad, conceding only two goals, while La Real has struggled to create chances; a home win at the Bernabéu is the most likely result.

Kimi K3

Real Madrid have won the last six league meetings with Real Sociedad while conceding only twice, and their star-studded XI (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham, Güler) already clicked in a 2-1 opening win over Espanyol. Sociedad looked blunt in the final third against Betis despite dominating possession, and trips to the Bernabéu rarely end well for them — a draw is the main danger if Madrid's remodeled back line has an off night.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Real Madrid's elite attack (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham) at the Bernabéu faces a Real Sociedad side that has lost six straight Liga meetings while conceding just two goals total in that span; Sociedad's possession without penetration suggests Madrid's quality prevails.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Real Madrid’s elite attacking lineup and home advantage make them strong favorites, while Real Sociedad’s limited chance creation is a major concern. Madrid have also won the last six league meetings and conceded only twice across that run.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Real Madrid's overwhelming attacking talent and dominant recent head-to-head record against La Real point to a controlled home victory. Real Sociedad's lack of cutting edge in the final third makes it highly unlikely they can trouble the Bernabéu defense.

Grok 4.5

Real Madrid at the Bernabeu with Mbappe, Vinicius, Bellingham and a strong midfield are clear favorites; recent H2H dominance (six straight Liga wins, only two goals conceded) and Sociedad's limited chance creation point to a controlled home victory, most likely by two clean goals.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Real Madrid boast a dominant recent record against Real Sociedad (six straight Liga wins, only two goals conceded) and field an elite attacking lineup of Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham, and Güler at the Bernabéu. Sociedad's noted inability to create sufficient chances in the final third makes an upset unlikely, though Madrid's concession against Espanyol suggests they can be breached once.

GLM-5.2

Real Madrid enter on the back of a 2-1 opening win over Espanyol with a star-studded squad (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham, Bernardo Silva) under Mourinho, who has 6 wins and 2 draws in 8 meetings vs Real Sociedad. La Real lost 1-0 to Betis, failed to create chances, lost 4 of 5 preseason friendlies conceding 10 goals, and have lost their last 6 Liga meetings with Madrid conceding just 2 goals total.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeReal Madrid
1.32
DrawLevel at 90′
5.97
AwayReal Sociedad
8.89