Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H76%D16%A8% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H70%D19%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 3–0 | H78%D15%A7% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H72%D17%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H75%D16%A9% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H68%D22%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H74%D17%A9% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H68%D19%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 3–1 | H71%D18%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H70%D18%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H70%D19%A11% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Real Madrid at the Bernabéu with a far superior squad (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham) against a Rayo side that is defensively organised but light on attacking quality away from home and winless in their last two on the road. Rayo's low block makes a blowout less likely, so a controlled 2-0 type win is the most probable outcome.
Real Madrid's superior squad, home advantage at the Bernabeu, and strong attacking lineup make them clear favourites, while Rayo Vallecano have been winless in their last two away matches.
Real Madrid possess overwhelming attacking firepower at the Santiago Bernabéu and should dominate possession and territory against a Rayo Vallecano side that struggles on the road.
Real Madrid at the Bernabeu with Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, Bellingham and Güler starting are heavy favourites against a Rayo side on two straight away games without a win, though Rayo's wide threat from Tsitaishvili and Alvaro Garcia offers a counter-attacking outlet that keeps draw and narrow away chances alive.
Real Madrid are heavy favorites at the Bernabéu with 9 points from 4 matches and a star-studded attack (Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, Bellingham, Güler) in a 4-2-3-1. Rayo Vallecano are coming off two consecutive away matches without a win and, while capable of threatening on the break through Camello, Tsitaishvili and Alvaro Garcia, are unlikely to contain Madrid's firepower for 90 minutes, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
Real Madrid's superior squad depth, attacking firepower, and home advantage at the Santiago Bernabéu make them clear favorites. Rayo Vallecano's recent away form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will struggle to contain Madrid's attack, though they may capitalize on occasional counterattacks.
Real Madrid have taken 9 points from their first four matches and field a full-strength attack (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham, Güler) at the Bernabéu, where they have historically dominated this fixture. Rayo arrive winless in their last two away games and are clearly overmatched in squad quality, though their compact 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 shape keeps a low-scoring draw a live possibility.
Real Madrid's potent attack (Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, Bellingham) at the Bernabéu faces a Rayo Vallecano side winless in two away matches; home dominance and superior squad depth favor Los Blancos, though Rayo's organized defense could snatch a goal.
Real Madrid’s elite attacking options and strong home advantage make them clear favorites against a Rayo side likely to defend compactly. Rayo’s ability to frustrate their city rivals keeps the draw probability meaningful, but Madrid should create enough chances to win.
Real Madrid are at the Bernabéu with a star-studded lineup (Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, Bellingham, Alexander-Arnold) and sit 3rd with 9 points from 4 games, while Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last two away matches and lack the quality to trouble Madrid's defense over 90 minutes.
Real Madrid dominate at the Bernabéu against Rayo historically and return home after a strong start (3W 1L, heavy home scoring) facing a leaky Rayo side (10 conceded in 4, many absences/suspensions) that just scraped a first win. Madrid's firepower (Mbappé et al.) should overwhelm despite Rayo's occasional threat via Camello.
Real Madrid have been dominant at the Bernabéu this season (2 home wins, 8 scored, 1 conceded) and boast a star-studded lineup led by Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, and Bellingham. Rayo Vallecano are significantly weakened by injuries and suspensions to key players including Palazón, De Frutos, and Fran Pérez, though their Conference League-final quality means they should still find a goal.
Real Madrid are unbeaten in 17 home games against Rayo (winning 15) and face a Rayo side in crisis with off-field turmoil, key injuries, and just one win in four. Mourinho's men, coming off a rare loss to Betis, will be motivated to bounce back at the Bernabéu with their star-studded attack.
Real MadridRayo Vallecano