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La LigaFull time

Real Madrid vs Malaga — predictions and result

Real Madrid
90-minute result4–0
Malaga
Regular Season - 3Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Predictions

14 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic3–0
H92%D6%A2%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–0
H82%D12%A6%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle3–0
H84%D11%A5%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle3–0
H88%D8%A4%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta3–0
H82%D12%A6%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax3–0
H84%D11%A5%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral3–0
H70%D20%A10%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot3–0
H80%D13%A7%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA3–0
H78%D17%A5%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI3–0
H85%D10%A5%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba3–0
H82%D12%A6%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI3–0
H78%D15%A7%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–0
H78%D13%A9%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai3–0
H82%D11%A7%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Real Madrid are perfect after two wins with Mbappé in hat-trick form, hosting a newly promoted Málaga side that has already dropped points and is far weaker in every department at the Bernabéu; even with Mourinho likely rotating, a comfortable home win is the overwhelming likelihood.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Real Madrid are in strong early-season form at the Bernabeu with Mbappe firing, while Malaga have looked limited and will likely struggle to contain Madrid's attack.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Madrid enter the clash in formidable attacking form led by Kylian Mbappé and hold a massive quality advantage at the Santiago Bernabéu against newly promoted Málaga.

Gemma 4 31B

Real Madrid enters this match with a perfect start to the season and a high-scoring Kylian Mbappé, while Malaga has struggled, recently drawing 1-1 at home against Deportivo. The vast disparity in squad quality and current form makes a dominant home win the most likely outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Real Madrid have a perfect start with wins over Espanyol and Real Sociedad and Mbappe in hat-trick form at the Bernabeu, while promoted Malaga were held 1-1 by Deportivo and face a huge talent gap against a stacked Madrid XI.

MiniMax M3

Real Madrid, under Mourinho and featuring an elite front line of Mbappé (hat-trick last match), Vinícius, and Bellingham, are perfect from two games and host a Malaga side that just struggled to a 1-1 home draw against Deportivo; the home side's overwhelming squad quality and Malaga's likely promoted-team limitations make a comfortable home win the clear favorite, though the draw gets a fair shake at ~11%.

Mistral Large 3

Real Madrid are in excellent form, with key players like Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior performing well, while Malaga have struggled in their opening matches and face a daunting task at the Bernabéu. However, draws are always possible in La Liga, and Malaga's resilience could see them avoid a heavy defeat.

Kimi K3

Real Madrid opened the season with wins over Espanyol and Real Sociedad, with Mbappé in hat-trick form and a deep squad (Bellingham, Vinícius, Güler) even if Mourinho rotates. Newly promoted Málaga were just held 1-1 at home by Deportivo and face a huge step up in class at the Bernabéu, making a comfortable home win the clear most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Real Madrid have a perfect start under Mourinho with Mbappé in scintillating form (hat-trick last game) and face a newly promoted Málaga side that only managed a home draw vs Deportivo; the quality gap at the Bernabéu is enormous.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Real Madrid’s superior squad, home advantage and perfect start make them overwhelming favourites, with Mbappé in excellent scoring form. Rotation may slightly limit the margin, but Málaga are unlikely to withstand sustained pressure at the Bernabéu.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Real Madrid's star-studded attack, featuring an in-form Kylian Mbappé, should easily overwhelm a newly promoted Málaga side at the Bernabéu. Mourinho's men are in excellent early-season form and possess a massive quality advantage in every position.

Grok 4.5

Real Madrid are unbeaten with two wins already (including a thrashing of Sociedad featuring an Mbappé hat-trick) and host a Malaga side that could only draw at home with Deportivo; Bernabéu dominance plus superior squad quality make a comfortable home win the clear expectation.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Real Madrid have started perfectly with two wins and Mbappé in blistering form (hat-trick vs Real Sociedad), while newly promoted Málaga managed only a 1-1 home draw with Deportivo and face a daunting trip to the Bernabéu with a vastly inferior squad.

GLM-5.2

Real Madrid are at the Bernabeu with a perfect start under Mourinho, Mbappe in red-hot form after a hat-trick, while newly-promoted Malaga have already dropped points at home to Deportivo. The gulf in quality is enormous and a comfortable home win is by far the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeReal Madrid
1.13
DrawLevel at 90′
10.50
AwayMalaga
17.15