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Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander — predictions and result

Rayo Vallecano
90-minute result3–2
Racing Santander
Regular Season - 4Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H46%D28%A26%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H37%D32%A31%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H47%D28%A25%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H44%D26%A30%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H43%D28%A29%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H46%D27%A27%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H44%D29%A27%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H40%D28%A32%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H36%D32%A32%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H37%D30%A33%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H38%D29%A33%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Rayo are typically stubborn and hard to break down at Vallecas, where low-scoring, tight games are the norm, and newly promoted Racing's attacking style (Canales, Vicente, Zabiri) tends to be more effective at home than on the road. Racing carry enough threat to keep it close, so the draw gets a healthy share.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Rayo's home edge is reduced by the temporary move to Butarque and several defensive injuries, while Racing arrive with momentum after Zabiri's hat-trick; both teams have scored and conceded in every league match, making a shared-spoils 1-1 the most likely scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Rayo Vallecano hold the home advantage at the intense Estadio de Vallecas where their energetic pressing typically overwhelms visiting sides. While Racing Santander have shown attacking potential, Rayo's experience and top-flight structure should see them edge a close contest.

Muse Spark 1.2

Rayo have Vallecas home advantage against newly promoted Racing Santander (14-year absence, Segunda champions), but Racing have shown attacking threat with Zabiri/Canales and scored in 2 of 3 opening games (3-2 vs Elche, 2-2 vs Villarreal). Rayo conceded 5 at Barcelona last time, so an open, both-teams-to-score game with a narrow home edge is most likely.

MiniMax M3

Rayo Vallecano's strong home record at Vallecas gives them a slight edge, but Racing Santander arrive in good early-season form (wins over Elche and Getafe, draw with Villarreal) and have added quality in Canales, Zabiri, and Belocian, making this a tight, evenly-matched opener where a share of the points looks the single most likely 90-minute outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Rayo Vallecano are playing at home but lack clear attacking dominance, while Racing Santander possess a credible attacking threat and recent form. A draw is a highly plausible outcome given the balanced dynamics.

Kimi K3

Rayo's home advantage at Vallecas and top-flight experience make them slight favourites against newly promoted Racing, but Racing's strong early attacking form (3-2 win over Elche, 2-2 with Villarreal) with Zabiri, Canales and Iñigo Vicente in form makes this genuinely competitive. A tight, open match is likely, with the draw a live possibility and Rayo's edge coming from home crowd and greater squad depth.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Rayo Vallecano's home advantage at Vallecas and established La Liga pedigree give them a slight edge over newly promoted Racing Santander, though Racing's attacking additions (Canales, Zabiri, Belocian) and reported good form make them dangerous and keep the draw probability high.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Rayo’s top-flight experience and home advantage give them a modest edge, but Racing’s attacking threat makes this a competitive matchup. A closely fought, low-margin draw is the most likely scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Rayo Vallecano have home advantage at the intimidating Estadio de Vallecas and a settled La Liga core (Unai López, Camello, Lejeune), but Racing Santander have shown genuine attacking threat in early fixtures (3-2 vs Elche, 2-2 vs Villarreal) with Sergio Canales and in-form Yassir Zabiri pulling the strings. This points to a tightly contested, open match where a draw is a highly plausible outcome.

Grok 4.5

Rayo sit bottom-ish with one point and no wins (L-D-L, heavy Barça loss) despite Camello's early goals and home edge, while promoted Racing have four points and Zabiri's hat-trick form after a solid start; recent H2H and Vallecas factor keep it tight, making a low-scoring draw the likeliest 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Rayo Vallecano have strong historical home advantage at Vallecas against Racing (16W in 27 meetings) but are in poor early-season form with just 1 point and a 5-2 loss to Barcelona, while newly promoted Racing Santander sit 10th with 4 points and carry attacking momentum from their 3-2 win over Elche. Both sides have conceded in all three matches this season, pointing to an open, closely contested draw.

GLM-5.2

Rayo are winless in three (L-D-L) with a leaky defense (7 conceded) and key injuries to Palazon, Batalla, and Luiz Felipe, but hold a strong H2H record (four straight wins over Racing) and home advantage. Racing have started well for a promoted side (4 points from 3, Zabiri in form with a hat-trick), making this a closely contested affair where a draw is highly plausible.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeRayo Vallecano
2.26
DrawLevel at 90′
3.49
AwayRacing Santander
3.27