Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 4·5 Sep · 16:30 UTC·Estadio Municipal de Butarque·✓ Completed
Rayo Vallecano flagRayo Vallecano
32
Racing Santander flagRacing Santander

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Rayo Vallecano
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Rayo Vallecano2.26
Draw3.49
Racing Santander3.27

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
46%28%26%1-0✓ hit
37%32%31%1-1✓ hit
47%28%25%2-1✓ hit
44%26%30%2-1✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
43%28%29%1-1✓ hit
40%30%30%1-1✓ hit
46%27%27%2-1✓ hit
40%30%30%2-1✓ hit
44%29%27%1-1✓ hit
40%28%32%1-1✓ hit
36%32%32%1-1✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
37%30%33%1-1✓ hit
38%29%33%1-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-0
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 32% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 47% · D 28% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 26% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 43% · D 28% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 27% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 44% · D 29% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 32% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 30% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander in the La Liga (Regular Season - 4). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander played?
The match kicked off 5 Sep · 16:30 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Rayo Vallecano, and the match finished 3–2. 100% of 13 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Of 13 models: 100% picked Rayo Vallecano, 0% a draw, and 0% Racing Santander. The consensus pick was Rayo Vallecano; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Rayo Vallecano 2.26 · Draw 3.49 · Racing Santander 3.27. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.