Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Rayo are strong at Vallecas with their high-intensity press under Íñigo Pérez and are the slight favourites, while Espanyol have started the season poorly and struggle away from home. Both sides typically score in this fixture, so a narrow Rayo win is most likely, with a draw a realistic secondary outcome.
Rayo are scoring consistently through in-form Sergio Camello but are defensively leaky, while Espanyol arrive with better early-season form yet are missing Puado and Kike Garcia. At the neutral Butarque venue, a close, both-teams-score match is the likeliest shape.
Rayo Vallecano's aggressive pressing and strong home identity at Vallecas give them the edge over an Espanyol side that typically finds it difficult to dictate tempo on the road.
Rayo's intense pressing and strong Vallecas record under Inigo Perez makes them slight home favourites against a winless Espanyol, but Espanyol's structured approach suggests a tight game with both teams scoring likely.
Rayo are slight favorites at home in Vallecas, where their intense pressing and aggressive style typically troubles visitors. Espanyol are winless early in the campaign and likely to set up defensively, but Rayo's attacking edge combined with Espanyol's ability to nick a goal on the break makes a narrow Rayo win the most likely outcome.
Rayo Vallecano enter this fixture as slight favorites due to home advantage, energetic midfield play, and Espanyol's struggles early in the season. However, Espanyol's structured approach and recent competitive history against Rayo suggest a closely contested match with a significant chance of a draw.
Rayo are reliably strong at Vallecas under Iñigo Pérez, with an aggressive pressing game and a settled core (Ratiu, Lejeune, Unai López, Álvaro García, Camello), while Espanyol have struggled for wins and are typically much weaker on the road. Still, this matchup is historically tight and low-scoring, so the draw carries a genuinely high probability alongside a slight home edge.
Rayo Vallecano's intense home atmosphere at Vallecas gives them a slight edge over Espanyol, though the visitors' structured approach and previous head-to-head win keep the draw and away win probabilities substantial in this early-season Madrid-Barcelona clash.
Rayo's intensity and home advantage at Vallecas give them a modest edge, but the lack of current-season form data warrants caution. Espanyol's structured approach makes a low-scoring draw the most likely exact scoreline.
Rayo Vallecano are slight favorites at Vallecas under Inigo Perez, having overperformed domestically and in Europe, while Espanyol are yet to win this season. Both teams are expected to score in a feisty tactical duel, giving Rayo a narrow home edge.
Rayo sit near the bottom with a leaky defence (heavy recent loss and multiple key absences including Palazón and de Frutos) while forced to play at Butarque; Espanyol are mid-table with tighter structure, a fresh 2-0 win and fewer holes, making an away win the likeliest narrow outcome.
Rayo have been defensively dire (14 goals conceded in 5 matches) and are missing several key players including Isi Palazón, while the match is at a neutral venue (Butarque) rather than Vallecas, significantly diminishing their usual home advantage. Espanyol sit in 7th with 7 points, are coming off consecutive wins, and their manager Manolo González has a perfect 3-from-3 record against Rayo, though Camello's prolific scoring (6 goals) ensures this should be competitive.
Rayo Vallecano are slight favorites at Vallecas thanks to their aggressive pressing style under Inigo Perez and strong home record, while Espanyol have struggled for wins. However, the margin is thin given Espanyol's structured approach and their recent 1-0 win in the last H2H meeting, so a close match with both teams scoring is likely.
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol