Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 2·20 Aug · 19:00 UTC·Estadio Municipal de Butarque·✓ Completed
Rayo Vallecano flagRayo Vallecano
11
Alaves flagAlaves

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Rayo Vallecano
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-0
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 94% · D 0% · A 6%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Rayo Vallecano2.27
Draw3.10
Alaves3.70

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
45%28%27%1-0✗ miss
46%28%26%1-0✗ miss
46%28%26%1-0✗ miss
46%28%26%2-1✗ miss
44%30%26%1-0✗ miss
38%30%32%1-1✗ miss
43%27%30%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
46%28%26%1-0✗ miss
45%30%25%1-1✗ miss
44%27%29%1-0✗ miss
33%28%39%1-2✗ miss
42%28%30%1-0✗ miss
43%30%27%1-1✗ miss
40%28%32%1-0✗ miss
48%28%24%1-0✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
46%27%27%1-0✗ miss
45%28%27%1-0✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-0
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-0
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-0
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 30% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✗ miss✓ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 43% · D 27% · A 30%✗ miss✓ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-0
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✗ miss✓ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 33% · D 28% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-0
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 43% · D 30% · A 27%✗ miss✓ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-0
H 48% · D 28% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-0
H 46% · D 27% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-0
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves played?
The match kicked off 20 Aug · 19:00 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
No. The AI consensus picked Rayo Vallecano, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 94% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
Of 17 models: 94% picked Rayo Vallecano, 0% a draw, and 6% Alaves. The consensus pick was Rayo Vallecano; the most-backed exact score was 1-0.
What were the betting odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Rayo Vallecano 2.27 · Draw 3.10 · Alaves 3.70. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.