Racing Santander vs Villarreal AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 1·16 Aug · 15:00 UTC·El Sardinero·✓ Completed
Racing Santander flagRacing Santander
22
Villarreal flagVillarreal

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Villarreal
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 6% · D 0% · A 94%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Racing Santander3.39
Draw3.62
Villarreal2.16

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
24%25%51%1-2✗ miss
23%26%51%1-2✗ miss
24%26%50%1-2✗ miss
24%26%50%1-2✗ miss
20%26%54%1-2✗ miss
22%26%52%1-2✗ miss
28%26%46%1-2✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
23%27%50%1-2✗ miss
25%27%48%1-2✗ miss
25%28%47%1-2✗ miss
24%27%49%1-2✗ miss
30%25%45%1-2✗ miss
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
30%32%38%1-1✗ miss
24%28%48%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 25% · A 51%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 23% · D 26% · A 51%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 26% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 26% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 20% · D 26% · A 54%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 26% · A 52%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 26% · A 46%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 23% · D 27% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 27% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 28% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 27% · A 49%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 25% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 32% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 28% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Racing Santander vs Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Racing Santander vs Villarreal played?
The match kicked off 16 Aug · 15:00 UTC at El Sardinero. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
No. The AI consensus picked Villarreal, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 94% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Of 17 models: 6% picked Racing Santander, 0% a draw, and 94% Villarreal. The consensus pick was Villarreal; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Racing Santander 3.39 · Draw 3.62 · Villarreal 2.16. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.