Racing Santander
Alaves| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H23%D27%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H31%D33%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D33%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D32%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D31%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H28%D34%A38% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Newly-promoted Racing are strong and high-scoring at El Sardinero, but Alavés arrive in solid form and Quique Flores' sides are typically compact and hard to break down away from home. A tight, low-scoring game with a genuine chance of honours even.
Alavés arrive second and unbeaten with a potent attack led by Boyé and Mariano Díaz, while Racing have just one win in four and sit 13th; the visitors' momentum should edge a close contest at El Sardinero.
Alavés enter in strong early-season form and possess greater top-flight stability, but El Sardinero presents a tough environment for visitors. A low-scoring, closely fought draw is the most probable outcome.
Alaves arrive second on 10 points and unbeaten after a 5-2 win over Osasuna, averaging 2.5 goals scored, while Racing are 13th on 4 points with 8 conceded in 4 games despite home wins over Elche; Alaves' attacking form outweighs El Sardinero advantage.
Alavés arrive in clearly superior recent form (unbeaten in four with a 75% win rate), and a preview source explicitly backs them to take at least a point at El Sardinero. Racing, sitting 13th with a negative goal difference, will still carry home advantage and keep this tight, making a low-scoring stalemate the most plausible single scoreline while Alavés edge the outright win probability.
Both teams are evenly matched based on pre-season form and historical head-to-head records, with Alavés slightly more consistent recently. The draw is a genuine possibility, reflecting their recent unbeaten run and Racing Santander's mixed home form.
Alavés arrive in superb form — 2nd with 10 points from four, 10 goals scored, and Mariano Díaz (3g/3a) plus Lucas Boyé (4g) firing, fresh off a 5-2 win over Osasuna. Newly promoted Racing (13th, 4 pts) have home advantage at El Sardinero and can score, but their leaky defense (3 conceded in the 3-2 loss at Rayo) makes the in-form visitors clear, if not overwhelming, favorites.
Early-season matchday 5 with both sides winless; Alavés' greater top-flight experience and tipster backing for an away point counter Racing's home advantage, while Quique Flores' poor historical record vs Santander (2W-2D-6L) tempers confidence in a clear visitor win.
Alavés have the stronger top-flight pedigree and the notes indicate encouraging recent form, but Racing’s home advantage should keep this close. A low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline, with the visitors slightly more likely to win overall.
Alavés arrive in strong form (unbeaten in four, 75% win rate) and sit higher in the table, but manager Quique Flores has a poor historical record against Racing (2W-2D-6L in 10 meetings). Racing's home advantage at El Sardinero and the manager's H2H struggles offset Alavés' superior form, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is highly plausible.
Alaves sit 2nd with 10pts from 4 (3W1D, +7 GD) and potent attack (Boyé/Mariano), while newly-promoted Racing have just 4pts and lost last time; visitors' form and quality edge the home side despite El Sardinero.
Alavés enter in stronger recent form (unbeaten in four with a 75% win rate over the past month), suggesting they carry momentum into this away fixture despite Racing Santander's home advantage at El Sardinero. Early-season matches between promoted and established sides tend to favor the more settled squad, tipping this in Alavés' favor.
Racing Santander are struggling early in the season (13th, negative record) while Alavés arrive in strong form (unbeaten in four, 75% win rate last month), but Alavés manager Quique Flores has a poor historical record against Racing (2W-2D-6L), creating conflicting signals that point toward a tight, low-scoring affair with a slight edge to the visitors.
Racing SantanderAlaves