Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D27%A37% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H36%D31%A33% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D31%A27% | Missed | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H43%D27%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H43%D29%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H41%D30%A29% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Missed | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H32%D33%A35% | Missed | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides sit on seven points, but Osasuna arrive in freefall (three straight defeats, 11 conceded, only five goals scored, with Oroz, Moi Gomez and Herrando injured), while Beñat San José's Rayo have won their last two and look sharper going forward. El Sadar's home edge roughly cancels out Rayo's better form, so a tight, moderate-scoring game with a high draw chance is the fair read.
Osasuna's home edge at El Sadar and Rayo's poor away form point toward the hosts, but Osasuna's three straight defeats, recent scoring drought and key absences make a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely scoreline.
Osasuna hold home advantage at El Sadar, but both sides are closely matched in quality and tactical structure, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Osasuna's strong El Sadar home advantage and 2-0 win in the last H2H offsets recent defensive fragility (11 conceded in last 3), while Rayo's 50% loss rate in last 6 tempers their threat despite punching above weight under Benat San Jose.
Osasuna has home advantage and won the previous meeting 2-0, but recent defensive frailty (11 goals conceded in their last three matches per the preview) and Rayo's mixed-but-capable form under San Jose (only a 50% loss rate in last 6) keep this tight. I'm giving Osasuna a slight edge at home with a narrow 2-1 scoreline, while still respecting the ~29% draw probability typical of mid-table La Liga fixtures.
Osasuna's home edge at El Sadar and their 2-0 win in the last head-to-head make them slight favorites, while Rayo have historically struggled on the road; however, these are two closely matched mid-table sides with modest attacking output, so a low-scoring game with a meaningful draw chance is expected.
Osasuna hold a modest home advantage in a matchup of two mid-table sides starting the 2026/27 season; historical H2H and prior-season form suggest a tight, low-scoring contest with the draw well-represented.
Osasuna's home advantage and Rayo's historically uneven away form give the hosts a narrow edge. However, Osasuna's defensive vulnerability makes a low-scoring draw the most likely exact scoreline.
Osasuna are in dire form with three straight losses, 11 goals conceded in that span, and no goals in their last two matches, while Rayo come in off a 3-2 win over Racing and are punching above their weight under Benat San Jose. However, Osasuna's home advantage at El Sadar and desperation to halt the slide keep this extremely tight, and Rayo's own inability to keep clean sheets (none in 12 games) suggests both sides will find the net in a closely contested draw.
Both sides sit on 7 points after 6 games with identical W-D-L records, but Osasuna enter on a three-match losing streak (scoreless in last two) while Rayo arrive in better form with recent wins and Camello's scoring touch; El Sadar home edge is offset by Rayo's attacking output and Osasuna's defensive fragility, making a low-scoring draw the modal outcome.
Osasuna have home advantage at El Sadar and beat Rayo 2-0 there last season, but are on a three-match losing streak without scoring in the last two; Rayo arrive with two straight wins and Sergio Camello in lethal form (6 in 6), though missing several key players including Isi Palazon. Both sit on 7 points from 6 and are closely matched — a low-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome.
Both sides sit level on 7 points after 6 matches; Osasuna's three-match losing streak and goal drought are offset by home advantage at El Sadar and Rayo's leaky defense (15 conceded in 6), while Rayo's in-form striker Sergio Camello (6 goals in 5) poses a constant threat, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
OsasunaRayo Vallecano