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Osasuna vs Racing Santander — predictions and result

Osasuna
90-minute result2–0
Racing Santander
Regular Season - 9Estadio El Sadar

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H47%D27%A26%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H43%D30%A27%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D34%A28%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H41%D28%A31%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H45%D27%A28%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H39%D29%A32%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H42%D27%A31%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H38%D34%A28%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Osasuna are in poor form (one point in five, 17 conceded) but get a new-manager bounce with Arrasate returning and El Sadar remains a tough venue, while Racing are still pointless on the road and have shipped 12 goals in their last two games. Budimir should find chances, though Osasuna's leaky defence keeps the draw and an away upset live.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Osasuna are in poor form with just one point in five and lean heavily on Budimir, while Racing Santander are still without an away point and have shipped 12 goals in their last two matches; with both sides vulnerable and evenly matched, a draw looks the likeliest outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Racing Santander have struggled heavily on their travels and conceded heavily in recent fixtures, giving Osasuna a prime opportunity to bounce back at El Sadar.

Muse Spark 1.2

Both on 8 points in 15th/16th and leaking heavily - Osasuna 17 conceded in last 5 (1pt) and Racing 12 in last 2 (0-5 vs Celta, 2-7 vs Barcelona) - with Racing still winless away and Osasuna relying solely on Budimir (both goals in last 5) for Arrasate's home return, a low-scoring draw is the single most likely scoreline in an even relegation battle.

MiniMax M3

Both sides sit on 8 points with similar profiles: Osasuna are on a dire run (1 point in 5, 17 goals conceded) while Racing are still seeking their first away point and have shipped 12 goals in their last two away games. Osasuna's home advantage and Budimir's reliable finishing are slightly outweighed by their defensive collapse, and Racing's away frailty plus H2H balance (4-4-0) make a low-scoring draw the most credible single outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are struggling defensively, with Osasuna conceding 17 goals in their last five matches and Racing Santander shipping 12 in their last two. The head-to-head record is evenly split, and both teams have identical points tallies, suggesting a balanced but low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.

Kimi K3

Two struggling, evenly matched sides (8 pts each) with leaky defenses: Osasuna have conceded 17 goals across a five-game winless slide, while Racing shipped 12 in two games and remain pointless on the road. Home edge at El Sadar and a possible bounce from Arrasate's return tilt it slightly toward Osasuna, but with both backlines this open a high-scoring draw is a very live outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Osasuna hold home advantage but have conceded 17 goals in their last five matches; Racing Santander have shipped 12 goals in two away thrashings and are still seeking their first road point. Both defences are porous, yet Osasuna's front man Budimir provides a marginally steadier attacking outlet.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Both sides have struggled defensively, but Racing’s severe recent concessions and poor away record give Osasuna a meaningful home edge. Osasuna’s own poor form keeps the draw and away-win probabilities substantial.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Both teams are in poor form with leaky defenses, but Racing Santander have yet to earn a single point on the road this season, giving Osasuna a slight home edge despite their own dismal run of 1 point in 5 games. With both attacks struggling to produce consistently, a tight, low-scoring draw is a highly plausible outcome.

Grok 4.5

Both sides sit on 8 points mid-table with poor recent form; Osasuna have taken just one point from five while shipping 17 goals, and Racing remain pointless away after heavy defeats conceding 12 in two games. Home edge is marginal given defensive frailty on both sides, making a low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Both sides have 8 points and are in poor form—Osasuna conceding 17 goals in their last 5 matches, Racing shipping 12 in their last two—but Osasuna's home advantage and Racing's inability to pick up any away points gives the hosts a slight edge. Both defenses are fragile, so goals from both sides are likely, with Osasuna edging it.

GLM-5.2

Both sides are struggling with 8 points each and leaky defenses — Osasuna have conceded 17 in their last five while Racing have shipped 12 in two matches and are winless on the road. With neither team in convincing form, a tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeOsasuna
2.00
DrawLevel at 90′
3.77
AwayRacing Santander
3.72