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Malaga vs Real Sociedad — predictions and result

Malaga
90-minute result2–5
Real Sociedad
Regular Season - 9La Rosaleda

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H26%D28%A46%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H18%D30%A52%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H22%D28%A50%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H24%D28%A48%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H22%D28%A50%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H20%D30%A50%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H20%D27%A53%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H20%D30%A50%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–1
H23%D29%A48%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H22%D28%A50%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H22%D28%A50%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H20%D28%A52%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H20%D28%A52%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Real Sociedad arrive unbeaten in three and carry clearly superior squad quality, while newly-promoted Málaga have gone four home games without a win at La Rosaleda. The Basques should edge it, though Sociedad's inconsistency and Málaga's organised home defence keep the draw a live possibility.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Real Sociedad are in better form and the stronger side, while Malaga are winless in four at home; Sociedad's matches also feature frequent goals and both teams scoring, pointing to a narrow away win.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Sociedad arrive in steady form on a three-match unbeaten run and possess superior technical quality throughout the pitch. Málaga have struggled for consistency at La Rosaleda with four consecutive home games without a win, giving the visitors a clear advantage.

Muse Spark 1.2

Real Sociedad's three-game unbeaten run contrasts with Malaga's four-game winless streak at La Rosaleda, and Sociedad's 63% BTTS rate with 3.38 average goals points to an open game where the visitors edge it.

MiniMax M3

Real Sociedad arrive on a three-match unbeaten run while Malaga are winless in four at La Rosaleda and set up in a deep4-1-4-1 block, making Sociedad favorites but with a meaningful draw probability given Malaga's defensive discipline and Sociedad's higher foul rate conceding transitions.

Mistral Large 3

Real Sociedad's superior recent form (three unbeaten matches) and historical dominance in this fixture, combined with Málaga's struggles (four winless home games), make them clear favorites. Málaga's defensive approach and lack of aggression may limit their attacking threat, while Real Sociedad's higher goal-scoring potential and away resilience tilt the balance in their favor.

Kimi K3

Real Sociedad arrive unbeaten in three and are a settled top-flight side, while newly promoted Malaga are winless in four at home and look short of consistency. Sociedad's matches have been open affairs (63% BTTS, ~3.4 goals per game), so an away win with Malaga scoring looks likeliest, though Malaga's disciplined, low-foul defending keeps a draw very live.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Real Sociedad enter on a three-match unbeaten run and hold a clear quality edge over newly promoted Málaga, who are winless in four at home; the historical H2H shows just one 0-0 in 17 top-flight meetings and Real Sociedad matches average 3.38 goals with 63% BTTS, pointing to an open away win.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Real Sociedad's three-match unbeaten run contrasts with Málaga's four consecutive home matches without a win. Home advantage keeps the draw plausible, but Sociedad appear more likely to edge a tight contest.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Real Sociedad arrive in strong form (three games unbeaten) against a Malaga side winless in four at home, and with 63% of La Real's matches featuring both teams scoring and a 3.38 goal average, an open but ultimately away-winning game is the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Real Sociedad arrive in better recent form with three unbeaten games while Malaga have struggled for wins at home; Sociedad's superior quality and away threat make them favorites, though draws remain common early-season.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Real Sociedad are in strong form with 7 points from their last 5 matches and an impressive 1.5 points per game on the road, while Malaga are struggling badly at home with just 0.67 home points per game and four consecutive home matches without a win. Real Sociedad's matches frequently see both teams score (63%), supporting a 1-2 scoreline in the visitors' favor.

GLM-5.2

Real Sociedad arrive in strong form with three unbeaten, while newly-promoted Málaga have struggled at home with four consecutive winless matches. Real Sociedad's high-scoring tendency (avg 3.38 goals/match, 63% BTTS) and clear quality edge point to an away win, though Málaga's disciplined defensive positioning keeps the draw in play.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeMalaga
3.47
DrawLevel at 90′
3.54
AwayReal Sociedad
2.16