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Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano — predictions and result

Getafe
90-minute result1–1
Rayo Vallecano
Regular Season - 9Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D30%A31%
MissedExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H32%D35%A33%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H38%D33%A29%
MissedExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H38%D29%A33%
MissedExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D33%A29%
MissedExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H38%D34%A28%
MissedExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H36%D30%A34%
MissedExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H30%D35%A35%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H39%D32%A29%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H37%D29%A34%
MissedExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H38%D32%A30%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H37%D30%A33%
MissedExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H30%D38%A32%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Madrid derby between two tight, low-scoring sides: Getafe's obdurate home setup and modest attack usually produce narrow margins, while Rayo have been hard to beat and are scoring regularly. Home advantage gives Getafe a slight edge, but a 1-1 type stalemate is the most likely single outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

A tight Madrid derby between two low-scoring, evenly matched sides; Getafe's defensive structure and Rayo's poor away form point to few goals, while six of the last ten meetings have been drawn.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Madrid-derby clashes between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano are traditionally tight, physical, and low-scoring affairs. While Getafe hold home advantage and defensive solidity, Rayo's attacking threat makes a closely contested draw the most probable outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Getafe's obdurate home form with five straight games scoring meets Rayo's two-match unbeaten but profligate attack under Benat San Jose, pointing to a tight, low-scoring Madrid derby where both sides likely score but neither creates enough to win clearly.

MiniMax M3

Madrid derby between two well-matched sides: Getafe's obdurate home defence and consistent home scoring (5 in a row) offsets Rayo's recent unbeaten run. The previous league meeting ended 1-1 with a late Getafe equaliser, and tips point to a tight, low-scoring contest where Rayo edge it or share the points — a draw at 1-1 is the modal outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams exhibit defensive solidity and recent form suggests a tight, low-scoring affair, with Getafe's home scoring streak balanced by Rayo's resilience and recent unbeaten run. The most likely outcome is a draw, reflecting their evenly matched strengths.

Kimi K3

A tight Madrid derby between two evenly matched sides: Getafe are obdurate and low-scoring at home but have scored in five straight there, while Rayo arrive unbeaten in two yet profligate under San Jose. Previews lean toward a cagey, low-scoring contest where Rayo likely avoid defeat but struggle to win, making the draw a strong live outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Getafe's obdurate home form and five-game scoring streak meet Rayo's profligate attack and 100% BTTS record in a Madrid derby; defensive solidity and recent 1-1 precedent point to a tight, low-scoring draw.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Getafe’s defensive resilience and consistent home scoring give them a narrow edge against a more adventurous but wasteful Rayo side. The derby should be tight and low-scoring, making a draw a significant possibility.

Qwen3.7 Plus

A tight Madrid derby where Getafe's strong home scoring run (five consecutive matches) meets Rayo Vallecano's solid recent form (two unbeaten). Both sides are defensively organized, pointing to a low-scoring, closely contested affair with a narrow home edge from venue advantage.

Grok 4.5

Getafe remain typically obdurate and unbeaten at home with a low-scoring profile under Bordalás, while Rayo's fun but profligate style and defensive leaks make a tight, under 2.5 contest likely; home edge or stalemate favored after Rayo's recent unbeaten run was disrupted.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Getafe's obdurate defensive setup at home makes them hard to beat in this Madrid derby, but Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in two and analysts highlight their ability to find results despite profligacy; a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome in what the research consistently frames as a tight, cagey contest.

GLM-5.2

Both sides sit level on 8 points after 8 matches, with Getafe scoring just 4 goals all season (joint-lowest in La Liga) and arriving fatigued from a midweek European trip. Rayo are more attacking but profligate, and multiple sources expect a low-scoring Madrid derby where Rayo avoid defeat — making a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeGetafe
3.07
DrawLevel at 90′
2.97
AwayRayo Vallecano
2.70