Espanyol
Sevilla| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D29%A43% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 0–1 | H20%D25%A55% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H32%D33%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H29%D28%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H29%D30%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Espanyol at the RCDE Stadium are traditionally awkward opponents in tight, low-scoring games, while Sevilla continue to rely on a heavily rebuilt, youth-laden squad that has been inconsistent on the road. Home advantage tilts it slightly to Espanyol, but with limited attacking quality on both sides a narrow scoreline or a draw is very plausible.
Sevilla's stronger start and recent head-to-head edge make them narrow favourites, but Espanyol are competitive at home and both sides have scored in every league game, so a tight scoring draw is the most likely exact scoreline.
Espanyol's home advantage at the RCDE Stadium is countered by Sevilla's slight edge in attacking quality, pointing toward a tightly contested, low-scoring draw.
Espanyol have RCDE Stadium home advantage but carry a 17-game winless tail from 2025/26, while Sevilla arrive with momentum from a win over Real Sociedad and breakthrough form from Miguel Sierra in a 4-2-3-1, making a tight low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome with Sevilla a narrow favourite on balance.
Espanyol's catastrophic form (17 winless La Liga games) and Sevilla's slight tactical edge, compact defense, and recent momentum—despite their own struggles—make Sevilla the most likely winner, though a draw is a significant possibility given the context.
Two sides that both finished 2025/26 poorly — Espanyol ended the season on a long winless run and Sevilla hovered near the drop zone — so there is little to separate them. Espanyol's home edge at the RCDE is counterbalanced by Sevilla's marginally stronger squad (Vlachodimos, Agoumé, in-form Miguel Sierra), and both attacks lack punch, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw carries honest weight.
Early-season matchday 4 with both sides unbeaten; Sevilla's deeper squad and Miguel Sierra's form give them a marginal edge, but Espanyol's home resilience at RCDE Stadium and García Plaza's organized 4-2-3-1 make a low-scoring draw the single most likely outcome.
Sevilla appear to have a slight attacking edge, with Miguel Sierra adding creativity, but Espanyol’s home advantage should keep the contest close. With limited current-season evidence and neither side clearly dominant, a low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline.
Sevilla hold a quality edge with Miguel Sierra in breakthrough form and a settled 4-2-3-1 system under García Plaza, while Espanyol's dismal 17-game winless La Liga run from last season raises serious doubts about their competitiveness even at the RCDE Stadium. A narrow away win is the most likely outcome, though Espanyol's home advantage keeps the contest tight.
Sevilla enter with a stronger early-season record (WWL, 6pts) and more squad depth after summer recruitment, while Espanyol (WLL) are missing key attackers Puado and Kike García yet remain dangerous at home via Roberto Fernández. Even contest with both sides capable of scoring points to a low-scoring draw as the modal outcome.
Sevilla enter with superior form (W-W-L, 6 pts) and already showed they can win away (3-1 at Athletic Bilbao), while Espanyol have lost two straight narrow defeats (vs Real Madrid and Real Sociedad) and are missing Javi Puado and Kike Garcia. Roberto Fernández's three goals in three games gives Espanyol hope at home, but Sevilla's deeper squad under García Plaza—despite Ruben Vargas being doubtful—should edge a competitive contest.
Sevilla have started the season stronger with two wins including an impressive 3-1 away at Athletic Bilbao, while Espanyol are missing key forwards Puado and Garcia to injury and have lost their last two. Sevilla's good recent record at RCDE Stadium (3 wins in last 5 visits) and near-fully-fit squad give them the edge, though Espanyol's home advantage and Roberto Fernandez's scoring form keep this competitive.
EspanyolSevilla