Claude Opus 4.8
Real Madrid's superior squad depth and strong historical record over Espanyol (including a 2-0 win in the last meeting) make them clear favorites, though early-season away trips can be tricky, keeping the draw a live possibility.
La LigaFull time
Espanyol vs Real Madrid — predictions and result
Espanyol90-minute result1–2
Real MadridRegular Season - 2RCDE Stadium
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 0–2 | H16%D22%A62% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H19%D23%A58% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H16%D22%A62% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 0–2 | H14%D21%A65% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H15%D22%A63% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–2 | H14%D22%A64% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 0–2 | H12%D20%A68% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–2 | H15%D24%A61% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–2 | H15%D23%A62% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 0–2 | H15%D25%A60% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 0–2 | H12%D20%A68% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–2 | H16%D23%A61% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H12%D22%A66% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H18%D23%A59% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H19%D25%A56% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H18%D23%A59% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H17%D25%A58% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H18%D25%A57% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Real Madrid have far greater squad depth and quality and dominate the historical head-to-head, but an early-season trip to a compact, physical Espanyol side at the RCDE Stadium — where they have dropped points recently — keeps this from being a formality.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Real Madrid have far superior quality and begin the Mourinho era with a strong new-look side, while Espanyol are missing Puado, Kike Garcia and Cabrera despite their 3-0 opening win. Espanyol's home threat should keep it competitive, but Madrid are the clear likeliest winners.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Real Madrid boast a vastly superior squad with stars like Courtois and Valverde, and under Jose Mourinho's guidance, they should have too much quality for Espanyol to handle even away from home.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Jose Mourinho returns to lead Real Madrid in their La Liga opener featuring a star-studded attack of Mbappe, Bellingham, and Vinicius. Despite Espanyol's strong opening win over Levante, key absences including Javi Puado and suspended defender Leandro Cabrera leave them vulnerable against Real Madrid's superior quality.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Real Madrid possess significantly superior depth and individual quality across the pitch compared to Espanyol. With dominant historical dominance in this fixture, the visitors are expected to control proceedings and secure a comfortable away victory.
Gemma 4 31B
Real Madrid possesses a significant historical advantage and a vastly superior squad depth compared to Espanyol. While it is early in the season, Madrid's quality should comfortably overcome the home side.
Muse Spark 1.2
Real Madrid's vastly superior squad (Courtois, Valverde plus new defensive additions Konaté, Huijsen, Dumfries) and 121-46 historical dominance outweigh Espanyol's home advantage, with Espanyol's modest attack (Fernández/Dolan) unlikely to break down Madrid's defence.
MiniMax M3
Real Madrid's squad quality is vastly superior with Konaté, Huijsen, Valverde, and Silva in the lineup under Mourinho, and they have dominated this fixture historically (121-46 H2H). Espanyol are at home but are a limited side with a thin attack, while Courtois and Madrid's defense should keep a clean sheet similar to the 2-0 result from the last meeting.
Mistral Large 3
Real Madrid's historical dominance over Espanyol, superior squad depth, and attacking quality make them clear favorites. Espanyol's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of recent form further tilt the balance toward a Real Madrid win, though a draw is a realistic possibility given La Liga's competitiveness.
Kimi K2.6
Real Madrid hold a dominant historical record against Espanyol and boast superior squad depth and quality, making an away win the clear expectation. Espanyol's early-season lineup is likely to struggle to break down a well-organized Madrid side, pointing toward a comfortable victory for the visitors.
Kimi K3
Real Madrid's squad is vastly superior and they have dominated this fixture historically (121 wins in 203 meetings, including a 2-0 win in the last encounter); Espanyol's home advantage and compact 4-2-3-1 keep some draw/upset hope alive, but Madrid's individual quality should tell over 90 minutes.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Real Madrid's vastly superior squad depth and historical dominance (121-46 in head-to-head) outweigh Espanyol's home advantage, though early-season integration under Mourinho and home support justify a respectable draw probability.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Real Madrid's substantial quality advantage and superior attacking options make them clear favorites, despite being early in a new tactical cycle. Espanyol's home advantage gives them a reasonable chance to keep the match competitive and score.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Real Madrid possess a significantly stronger squad (Courtois, Dumfries, Konaté, Valverde, Cucurella) and dominate the historical head-to-head (121 wins to 46), but it is only Round 2 under Mourinho, who reportedly still needs time to get the team fully cohesive, and Espanyol's home advantage keeps the margin tight. A narrow away win is the most likely outcome.
Grok 4.5
Real Madrid's superior squad quality (Mbappé, Vinícius, Bellingham plus new signings) and historical dominance should secure Mourinho a winning start despite rust from World Cup absences and Espanyol's solid 3-0 opener; home side missing key attackers and a centre-back limits upset potential while draws remain plausible early-season.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Real Madrid's vastly superior squad featuring Mbappé, Vinícius Jr, and Bellingham under a new but familiar manager in Mourinho makes them clear favorites, though this being their first competitive match of the season (postponed GW1) and an away trip introduces rustiness risk. Espanyol already have a 3-0 opening-day win over Levante and home advantage, but missing Puado, Cabrera (suspended), and Kike García limits their ceiling against a side that has won 23 of the last 28 H2H meetings.
GLM-5.2
Real Madrid's superior squad depth and Mbappé-led attack should prevail despite this being their first competitive match under Mourinho with a new system and several World Cup returnees short on training time. Espanyol's strong opening-day form, home advantage, and history of upsets at the RCDE Stadium (wins in 2018, 2021, 2025) keep the draw and home upset in play, but the quality gap is too significant to ignore.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeEspanyol
- 7.61
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 4.72
- AwayReal Madrid
- 1.44