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Espanyol vs Elche — predictions and result

Espanyol
90-minute result1–3
Elche
Regular Season - 7RCDE Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H45%D29%A26%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H49%D27%A24%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H46%D28%A26%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D28%A27%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H47%D28%A25%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H46%D24%A30%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H42%D27%A31%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Espanyol are mid-table with a solid home base and are unbeaten in six meetings with Elche, but they are without Puado, Kike Garcia, Carreras and the suspended El Hilali, blunting an already modest attack. Elche sit bottom with the league's worst defence yet have scored freely and just drew at Athletic and pushed Real Madrid close, so a tight, low-scoring game with a real draw chance is likeliest.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Espanyol have home advantage and face the league's leakiest defence, but they are missing several key attackers and Elche have scored in three straight away games, so a low-scoring game with a draw risk is likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Elche have struggled defensively this season, conceding 16 goals in their opening fixtures, giving Espanyol a strong opportunity to capitalize at home despite missing the suspended Omar El Hilali.

Muse Spark 1.2

Espanyol's home advantage is key against Elche's league-worst defence (16 conceded), but Elche have scored freely (8 goals) and were competitive holding Athletic 1-1 away and losing 2-3 to Real Madrid, while Espanyol are without suspended right-back Omar El Hilali after the Rayo defeat.

MiniMax M3

Elche own the worst defensive record in the division (16 conceded) but have shown they can score, and they took a 1-1 draw at Athletic Bilbao in their previous away outing. Espanyol are missing suspended right-back Omar El Hilali after the Rayo Vallecano defeat, weakening the back line, but home advantage tilts the marginal edge their way in a matchup that looks tightly balanced and low-margin.

Mistral Large 3

Espanyol are missing a key defender due to suspension, while Elche have shown resilience away from home, including a draw against Athletic Bilbao. However, Espanyol's home advantage and slightly stronger attacking form make them marginal favorites, though Elche's vulnerability in defense and recent away form keep the draw and away win probabilities competitive.

Kimi K3

Espanyol (8th) are unbeaten in six straight against Elche and face the league's leakiest defence (16 conceded), but they are missing suspended El Hilali plus injured attackers Puado, Kike Garcia and Jofre Carreras after a 2-1 loss to Rayo. Winless, bottom-placed Elche still score freely (8 goals), drew 1-1 at Athletic Bilbao and twice levelled against Real Madrid last time out, so an open, low-margin game with a strong draw chance is likely.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Elche's league-worst defense (16 goals conceded in 5 games) favors Espanyol at home, but Elche's potent attack (8 goals) and recent 1-1 away draw at Athletic Bilbao, combined with Espanyol missing suspended defender Omar El Hilali, create a high-variance match with both teams likely to score.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Espanyol's home advantage gives them the edge against an Elche side with the division's worst defensive record. Elche's scoring threat and Omar El Hilali's suspension keep both the draw and away win plausible.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Espanyol sit 8th with 7 points and are unbeaten in their last six H2H meetings with Elche, while Elche sit 20th with the league's worst defensive record (16 conceded in 6 matches). Despite missing the suspended El Hilali and coming off a defeat to Rayo, Espanyol's home advantage and Elche's leaky defense — combined with Elche's quick turnaround after the Real Madrid match forcing rotation — should see the hosts edge a high-scoring affair, though Elche's ability to score (8 goals) keeps them dangerous on the counter.

Grok 4.5

Espanyol sit mid-table with home advantage and a strong recent H2H record against winless bottom side Elche, whose league-worst defence (16 conceded) should be exploitable despite Espanyol's absences. Elche's attacking output and recent resilience (draw at Athletic, fightback vs Madrid) keep the draw and upset live, but a narrow home win is the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Espanyol have home advantage against an Elche side with the worst defensive record in the division (16 goals conceded), though Elche are capable of scoring and should not be underestimated. Omar El Hilali's suspension weakens Espanyol slightly, but Elche's defensive frailties should be decisive at RCDE Stadium.

GLM-5.2

Espanyol have home advantage and face an Elche side with the worst defensive record in the division (16 conceded), but Elche have shown they can score and held Athletic Bilbao away. Espanyol's suspension of El Hilali slightly weakens their defense, keeping this closer than a typical home favourite scenario.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeEspanyol
1.85
DrawLevel at 90′
3.55
AwayElche
4.73