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Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid — predictions and result

Espanyol
90-minute result0–1
Atletico Madrid
Regular Season - 9RCDE Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H21%D25%A54%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H18%D25%A57%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle0–2
H20%D27%A53%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–1
H27%D26%A47%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax0–1
H17%D24%A59%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H25%D30%A45%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot0–1
H25%D28%A47%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H25%D30%A45%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–1
H20%D26%A54%
CorrectExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba0–1
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI0–1
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H22%D27%A51%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–2
H17%D25%A58%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Atletico sit second with 19 points from eight games and a strong defence anchored by Hancko and Romero, while Espanyol have taken just one win in their last six and have lost three of them. Home advantage and Espanyol's ability to frustrate big sides keep the draw live, but Simeone's side should edge a tight game.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Atletico arrive in excellent form with five straight wins and a stronger squad, while Espanyol are missing key attackers and have taken just one point from their last three. Espanyol's home scoring threat and a historically close H2H keep a draw realistic, but an away win is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Atletico Madrid possess superior squad depth and defensive solidity, making them strong favorites to control the game and secure an away victory against Espanyol.

Muse Spark 1.2

Atletico arrive in excellent top-two form with a settled Hancko-Romero centre-back pairing and joint-fourth-best defence, while Espanyol are winless since late 2025 (2pts from 7) despite winning the reverse 2-1 in August; Espanyol make it tough at home but Atletico's depth and control in settled defence points to a narrow away win.

MiniMax M3

Atletico Madrid enter this match in excellent form and sitting in the top two, while Espanyol have been winless since late 2025, taking only 2 points from their 7 league matches in 2026. With Atletico possessing one of the division's best defensive records and Espanyol struggling badly for goals, a narrow away win — likely 0-1 — is the most plausible outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Atletico Madrid's superior squad depth, defensive solidity, and recent form make them favorites, but Espanyol's home advantage and ability to exploit transitions could lead to a tightly contested match. The head-to-head record and Espanyol's recent draw against a strong side suggest a draw is a realistic outcome, though Atletico's quality edges them ahead.

Kimi K3

Atletico arrive in excellent form chasing the top two, with the settled Hancko-Romero centre-back pairing underpinning one of the division's best defensive records, while Espanyol's attack is likely to find few chances once Atletico's block is set. Espanyol's home edge and last season's 2-1 win in this fixture keep an upset plausible, but a tight, low-scoring away win is the most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Atletico Madrid's superior squad depth, strong defensive record with Hancko and Romero, and excellent current form make them favorites despite playing away; Espanyol's poor run (no wins since 2025, only 2 points from 7 matches) undermines their home advantage, though they did win the reverse fixture 2-1.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Atletico’s greater squad depth and strong defensive structure give them the edge, although Espanyol’s home advantage keeps the draw probability significant. A tight away win is the most likely outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Atletico Madrid are in excellent form and boast one of the league's best defenses with Hancko and Romero, while Espanyol have managed only two points from seven league matches in 2026 and lost their last away fixture 4-1. Simeone's side should control this contest, though Espanyol's home advantage and prior 2-1 win over Atletico this season keep the draw probability elevated.

Grok 4.5

Atletico sit 2nd with 19pts from 8 games and a five-match winning streak, showing strong away form and defensive solidity, while Espanyol are mid-table with just 8pts, inconsistent results and key injuries. Simeone's side should grind out a low-scoring away win despite the tricky venue.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Atletico Madrid are in excellent form with a strong defensive pairing of Hancko-Romero, while Espanyol have taken just 2 points from their last 7 league matches and are winless in 2026. Simeone's side should dominate against a struggling Espanyol side, though the draw remains a realistic possibility given home advantage.

GLM-5.2

Atletico Madrid are in excellent form with one of La Liga's best defensive records, while Espanyol have been in poor form with only two points from their last seven league matches. Atletico's superior squad depth and defensive solidity under Simeone make a comfortable away win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeEspanyol
4.94
DrawLevel at 90′
4.02
AwayAtletico Madrid
1.71