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Elche vs Real Sociedad — predictions and result

Elche
90-minute result2–3
Real Sociedad
Regular Season - 4Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H30%D27%A43%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–1
H23%D27%A50%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H24%D28%A48%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H27%D24%A49%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H18%D24%A58%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H20%D25%A55%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H23%D26%A51%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H25%D30%A45%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H24%D27%A49%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H28%D26%A46%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H22%D24%A54%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H24%D28%A48%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Elche are winless with the league's worst defence (9 conceded in 3) under Anselmi, while Real Sociedad, despite an inconsistent start, have won four of the last five head-to-heads and carry clearly superior individual quality in Oyarzabal, Kubo and Óskarsson. Home advantage and Sociedad's own away sluggishness keep the draw live, but the visitors should edge a moderately open game.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Elche have been alarmingly open at the back, conceding nine goals in three matches, while Real Sociedad have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings and carry the stronger squad. La Real's own away struggles and Elche's home setting keep the draw and a home upset in play, but the visitors' quality should edge a tight contest.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Sociedad possess significantly superior attacking depth to exploit an Elche backline that has leaked nine goals across their opening three league matches. Although Elche have home advantage, La Real's individual quality and strong head-to-head record make an away victory the most probable outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Elche's league-worst defence (9 conceded in 3 games) and 5-game winless home run meets a Real Sociedad side with 4 wins in the last 5 head-to-heads and superior attacking quality (Oyarzabal, Kubo, Oskarsson), making the visitors favourites despite their own away inconsistency.

MiniMax M3

Elche have the worst defense in La Liga so far, conceding 9 goals in 3 matches, while Real Sociedad have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings (most recently 3-1) and possess superior attacking quality through Kubo, Oyarzabal and Óskarsson. Sociedad are clear favorites, though Elche's home setting keeps the draw probability honest at around league average.

Mistral Large 3

Real Sociedad's superior quality, recent head-to-head dominance, and Elche's defensive vulnerabilities make them clear favorites. However, Elche's home setting and Sociedad's away struggles balance the scales slightly, increasing the likelihood of a draw or narrow away win.

Kimi K3

Elche have the leakiest defense in the division (9 conceded in 3 games) and have lost 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads, including a 3-1 defeat in the most recent meeting; Real Sociedad's superior individual quality (Oyarzabal, Kubo, Barrenetxea) should exploit those gaps, though Elche's home setting and Sociedad's inconsistent away form keep the draw a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Real Sociedad hold a strong recent head-to-head edge (4 wins in 5) and superior squad quality, while Elche have conceded the most goals in the division early on and are winless in their last five home league games. However, early-season variance and home advantage keep the draw probability elevated.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Real Sociedad have the stronger squad and have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings. Elche's defensive vulnerability gives the visitors a clear edge, though home advantage keeps the draw plausible.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Elche's alarming defensive record (9 goals conceded in 3 matches) and winless home run (0 wins in last 5 at home) make them vulnerable, while Real Sociedad boast superior individual quality in attack (Oyarzabal, Kubo, Óskarsson) and have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads including a 3-1 victory in the most recent meeting. Sociedad's away inconsistencies and both sides' defensive uncertainties keep the draw probability elevated, but the visitors' edge in quality should prevail.

Grok 4.5

Elche have conceded heavily early (9 in 3) and remain defensively fragile, while Sociedad hold clear H2H dominance and superior quality to exploit that on the road; a narrow away win is the most likely result amid early-season inconsistency.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Elche's defense has been the worst in La Liga (9 goals conceded in 3 matches, including a 0-5 loss to Barcelona), and Real Sociedad have dominated this fixture historically (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 H2H meetings). While Sociedad have their own inconsistencies (4 points from 4 games, LLWD form), their greater individual quality with Óskarsson (3 goals in 5 apps) and Oyarzabal should be enough to exploit Elche's fragile backline, though the home side may grab a consolation goal.

GLM-5.2

Elche have conceded nine goals in three matches — the worst defensive record in the division — while Real Sociedad have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings and possess clearly superior individual quality. Sociedad's away inconsistencies and both sides' early-season struggles keep the draw in play, but Elche's defensive frailties make an away win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeElche
2.99
DrawLevel at 90′
3.56
AwayReal Sociedad
2.39