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Elche vs Real Madrid — predictions and result

Elche
90-minute result2–3
Real Madrid
Regular Season - 6Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic0–2
H15%D22%A63%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–2
H11%D20%A69%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle0–2
H11%D20%A69%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–2
H13%D21%A66%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax0–2
H12%D22%A66%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral0–2
H10%D20%A70%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot0–2
H8%D18%A74%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA0–2
H8%D22%A70%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–2
H10%D18%A72%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba0–2
H12%D18%A70%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI0–2
H14%D22%A64%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–3
H14%D22%A64%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–2
H8%D20%A72%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Real Madrid have made a strong start (12 points from 5) and carry far superior quality, while Elche sit 19th and are expected to sit in a deep block under Anselmi. Elche's organisation and home crowd give them a puncher's chance of frustrating Madrid, but the visitors should break them down for a controlled away win.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Real Madrid are in strong scoring form and face an Elche side winless in five with one of La Liga's worst defensive records; Elche's low block may keep it close early, but Madrid's superior attack should secure a comfortable away win.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Madrid hold a massive advantage in individual quality and creative depth over an Elche side relying on a reactive low block. Expect the visitors to control possession and break through Elche's defensive setup comfortably.

Muse Spark 1.2

Real Madrid's perfect start (12 points, 2nd) against winless Elche (2 points, 19th) shows a huge quality gap, and Elche's expected low block with high foul/yellow-card rate points to sustained Madrid pressure and a controlled away win.

MiniMax M3

Real Madrid sit 2nd with 12 points from 5 matches and possess overwhelming attacking quality (Bellingham, Vinícius, Güler) that Elche's low-block, 4-4-1-1/5-at-back setup under Anselmi will struggle to contain; meanwhile Elche are 19th with just 2 points, fouling heavily (13 per game) and conceding the initiative, though the deep block gives them a credible draw chance to keep the away win probability from being higher than the mid-60s.

Mistral Large 3

Elche are in poor form, sitting 19th in the table with just 2 points from their opening matches, and are set to defend deeply against a far superior Real Madrid side. Real Madrid's attacking prowess and depth make them heavy favorites, despite Elche's defensive approach.

Kimi K3

Real Madrid arrive in strong early form (12 points, 2nd place) with a deep attacking squad (Vinícius, Güler, Brahim, Bellingham) against an Elche side winless with just 2 points that will sit in a low block under Anselmi. Elche's defensive setup may keep it tight for spells, but Madrid's superior quality and Elche's lack of cutting edge make a comfortable away win the clear most likely outcome, with a stubborn draw the main alternative.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Real Madrid's potent attack and strong early-season form (12 points, 2nd) face an Elche side rooted in 19th with just 2 points, likely to deploy a deep low block that historically struggles to contain Madrid's quality over 90 minutes.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Real Madrid's superior attacking quality should eventually break down Elche's anticipated low block. Elche can keep the game tight for stretches, but their limited attacking threat makes a controlled away win most likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Real Madrid sit 2nd with 12 points from 5 games and possess a far superior attack, while Elche are 19th with just 2 points and will likely sit in a deep low block. Madrid's quality should eventually break down Elche's defensive setup, though the visitors may not run up a huge scoreline away from home.

Grok 4.5

Real Madrid sit near the top with a strong early-season points haul and superior attacking quality, while Elche are near the bottom and are expected to defend deep in a low block. Away dominance is the clear base case, with a clean-sheet 0-2 the single most probable scoreline against limited home threat.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Real Madrid sit 2nd with 12 points from their opening five matches while Elche are 19th with just 2 points, reflecting a significant quality and form gap. Elche's deep-block defensive setup may frustrate Madrid for spells, but Los Blancos' attacking firepower (Güler, Vinícius, Bellingham) should ultimately prove too much against a side conceding frequently and picking up cards from reactive defending.

GLM-5.2

Real Madrid sit 2nd with 12 points from 5 games while Elche are 19th with just 2 points, and Elche's expected low-block approach is unlikely to contain Madrid's superior attacking quality for 90 minutes.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeElche
10.47
DrawLevel at 90′
7.02
AwayReal Madrid
1.24