Elche
Celta Vigo| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H27%D27%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H28%D29%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Celta carry the better underlying quality (last season's Europa League qualifiers) and go in off a 5-0 thrashing of Racing, while Elche sit in the relegation zone having conceded 17 goals in seven games, the division's second-worst defence. Home advantage and Elche's own win at Espanyol keep this close, so a high draw chance and goals at both ends are likely.
Celta Vigo are the stronger side, have won four of the last five meetings and hit form with a 5-0 win, while Elche's defence has conceded 17 goals in 7 games; Celta's draw-heavy start and Elche's home edge keep the draw meaningful.
Celta Vigo possess the superior attacking fluency under Claudio Giráldez and face an Elche side that has struggled defensively at home this season.
Elche's home vulnerability (one win in six, 17 conceded in seven league games) offsets any momentum, while Celta are still rated favourites on possession quality despite patchy form and a high recent draw rate keeps the draw elevated.
Elche's home form has been poor (1 win in last 6) with17 goals conceded in 7 league games, while Celta Vigo are inconsistent but generally favored despite their own struggles; multiple previews lean toward Celta or a tight draw, and Celta's high recent draw rate (4 of last 8) keeps the stalemate probability meaningful.
Both teams have shown recent momentum, with Elche's strong home form and Celta Vigo's possession-based approach and defensive vulnerabilities balancing the scales. A draw is the most likely outcome given their recent trends and stylistic contrasts.
Celta arrive as the stronger, more established top-flight side and are rated favourites in the fixture-specific previews, despite Elche's morale-boosting win at Espanyol last time out. Elche's defensive record is alarming (17 conceded in seven league games, one win in their last six at home), while Celta's tendency to draw (four of their last eight) keeps the stalemate probability honest.
Celta Vigo miss captain Iago Aspas and key defender Carl Starfelt, plus have a Europa League clash with Juventus midweek creating distraction/rotation risk. Elche earned a confidence-boosting 3-1 away win at Espanyol last time out under new manager Martin Anselmi. Both sides have been inconsistent (Celta drew 4 of 7, Elche only 5 points), making a low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.
Celta appear the stronger side overall and Elche's recent home defensive record is a concern. However, Celta's cautious approach and tendency to draw make a tight 1-1 the likeliest exact scoreline.
Celta Vigo enter as clear favorites following a dominant 5-0 win over Racing and are viewed as the stronger side, while Elche have won just once in six home matches and concede heavily (17 goals in seven league games). However, Celta's tendency to draw (four of their last eight) and Elche's recent momentum keep the draw probability elevated, making a narrow away win the most likely single outcome.
Celta enter as slight favorites on squad quality and recent scoring form, but Elche at home remain competitive enough that a low-scoring draw is the single most probable scoreline amid both sides' mixed early-season results.
Celta's strong H2H record (4 wins in 5), Elche's porous defense (17 conceded in 7), and Celta's 5-0 momentum make the visitors clear favourites, though their heavy draw tendency (4 in 7) keeps the draw probability elevated.
Celta Vigo are viewed as favourites with Elche struggling badly at home (just one win in six, conceding 17 goals in seven league games), but Celta's high draw frequency (four in their last eight) keeps the draw probability elevated. A narrow Celta away win reflecting Elche's defensive frailty is the most likely decisive outcome.
ElcheCelta Vigo