Celta Vigo
Racing Santander| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H41%D30%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H53%D26%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D34%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H43%D30%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D40%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H43%D30%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H36%D35%A29% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Celta are winless in seven across all competitions, low-scoring (around 1.4 goals per game) and come off a Thursday Europa League defeat to Omonia, while Racing have 7 points and a dangerous attack led by Zabiri despite shipping seven at Barcelona midweek. Home advantage at Balaidos keeps Celta narrowly favoured, but a level game is very much in play.
Celta's home advantage and stronger squad give them a narrow edge, but they are winless in seven all-competition games and missing Aspas, while Racing concede regularly away yet carry a scoring threat; a tight 1-1 draw is the likeliest scoreline.
Celta Vigo hold the quality edge at Balaídos under Claudio Giráldez and should generate enough scoring opportunities to overcome a resilient Racing Santander side.
Celta have home advantage against promoted Racing but are in average form with a habit of early-season draws and conceding 1.67 goals per home game, making them vulnerable to a disciplined Racing side - 1-1 is the most balanced single scoreline.
Celta Vigo are established La Liga side at home but have shown a clear tendency to draw games under Giraldez, while newly promoted Racing Santander are hard to break down. Multiple sources flag 1-1 as the most likely scoreline and note Celta concede ~1.67 goals per home match, supporting a tight, low-scoring affair with the draw heavily represented.
Celta Vigo hold a modest home edge over a newly promoted-level Racing Santander, but they have been draw-heavy early in the season and are conceding freely at home (~1.67 goals per home match), which keeps the visitors live. A tight, low-margin contest points to 1-1 as the likeliest single scoreline, with Celta's quality making them slight favourites overall.
Celta Vigo's early-season tendency to draw combined with Racing Santander's promoted status suggests a tight, low-scoring affair; Dimers' model also identifies 1-1 as the most probable correct score.
Celta have the stronger top-flight pedigree and home advantage, but their tendency to draw and reported defensive vulnerability make Racing competitive. A tight, low-margin contest ending level is the likeliest scoreline.
Celta Vigo have been drawing excessively early this season and concede an average of 1.67 goals per home match, suggesting defensive frailties that Racing Santander can exploit. Despite home advantage, Celta's waning form under Giraldez points to a tight, low-scoring stalemate as the most likely outcome.
Early-season La Liga match with no prior results available; Celta Vigo hold a modest home edge as an established top-flight side against recently promoted Racing Santander, though both sides have shown draw-prone starts and low scoring tendencies historically favor a tight 1-1.
Celta Vigo have been drawing too many games at the start of this season with concerns over Claudio Giraldez's form, and their home defensive record is poor (1.67 goals conceded per home match), making a draw the single most likely outcome despite home advantage. Racing Santander are capable of taking a point given Celta's persistent inability to convert home dominance into wins.
Celta Vigo are winless in seven matches across all competitions and missing Iago Aspas, while Racing Santander have shown they can compete at this level with 7 points from 6 games; Celta's home advantage is offset by their poor form, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Celta VigoRacing Santander