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Celta Vigo vs Osasuna — predictions and result

Celta Vigo
90-minute result1–2
Osasuna
Regular Season - 1Municipal de Balaídos

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H45%D29%A26%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H47%D28%A25%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H44%D29%A27%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–1
H45%D28%A27%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H43%D28%A29%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H45%D29%A26%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H48%D26%A26%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H40%D32%A28%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H43%D27%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H44%D27%A29%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H44%D29%A27%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H43%D28%A29%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–0
H46%D28%A26%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Celta Vigo have home advantage and typically control possession and dictate tempo, but Osasuna are well-organised, defensively compact and dangerous on the counter, making a tight, low-scoring game likely with the draw a strong secondary outcome.

Claude Opus 5

Celta have been the stronger side of the two in recent seasons and Balaídos is a tough venue, while Osasuna travel as a compact, counter-attacking team that keeps games tight and low-scoring. Opening-weekend uncertainty plus Osasuna's defensive organisation keeps the draw well in play.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Celta Vigo's strong home record in this fixture and superior squad make them slight favourites, but Osasuna's compact defensive setup and both sides' opening 0-0 draws point to a tight, low-scoring game.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Celta Vigo will look to dominate possession at home with their attacking trio, but Osasuna's compact defensive structure and counter-attacking threat make a tight, low-scoring affair likely in this season opener.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Celta Vigo hold a notable advantage at Balaídos where their possession-based game and creative options like Iago Aspas can unlock tight defenses. Although Osasuna's disciplined structure and quick counter-attacks make them a persistent threat, Celta should do enough on home turf to secure a narrow victory.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Celta Vigo hold home advantage at Balaídos and their creative possession style should allow them to carve out just enough opportunities against a well-drilled Osasuna side.

Gemma 4 31B

Celta Vigo typically controls possession at home, but Osasuna's compact defensive organization and counter-attacking style often neutralize them, making a draw a highly probable outcome in this early-season clash.

Muse Spark 1.2

Celta's historic dominance at Balaidos (28 wins in 40 vs Osasuna) and possession-based control gives them edge, but both opened 2026/27 with 0-0 draws and Osasuna's compact low block plus a compromised pitch after fungal outbreak points to a tight, low-scoring home win.

MiniMax M3

Opening-day tactical battle: Celta Vigo's possession-based home approach is likely to be frustrated by Osasuna's compact, counter-attacking setup, with these styles historically producing tight, low-scoring games where draws are common. Celta's slight edge from home advantage and territorial control keeps them marginal favorites, but Osasuna's defensive organization makes a 1-1 stalemate the single most plausible scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Celta Vigo's possession-based approach and home advantage, combined with Osasuna's reliance on compact defending and counterattacks, suggests a tightly contested match. Celta's midfield control and attacking width make them slight favorites, but Osasuna's tactical discipline and resilience could secure a draw or narrow away win.

Kimi K2.6

Celta Vigo’s strong home head-to-head record at Balaídos and a nearly full squad give them a slight edge, while Osasuna’s compact defensive setup and recent victory in this fixture keep the away win a realistic possibility.

Kimi K3

Both sides opened the season with 0-0 draws, but Celta have the edge at Balaídos: they've won 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads, control possession through midfield (Carreira, Román) with more attacking variety (Jutglà, Swedberg/El-Abdellaoui), while Osasuna — despite Budimir's threat and a shock 2-1 win here in February — remain one of La Liga's weaker away sides. Draws have been rare in this fixture (none in the last five meetings), but Celta's own draw-heavy home record keeps the draw honest at 27%.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Celta Vigo's home possession-based system with Aspas as focal point edges a tight opener against Osasuna's compact counter-attacking shape; both sides lack competitive rhythm in matchweek 1, elevating draw probability.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Celta's home advantage and greater ability to control possession give them a narrow edge. Osasuna's compact defending and counterattacking threat should keep this low-scoring and make the draw a significant possibility.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Round 1 fixture with no form data; Celta's possession-based approach at home gives them a slight edge, but Osasuna's compact defensive structure and counter-attacking threat should keep this tight and low-scoring on opening day.

Grok 4.5

Evenly matched mid-table sides with no prior 2026/27 form; Celta's home possession style meets Osasuna's compact counter-attacking setup, favouring a low-scoring stalemate as the modal outcome while home edge keeps Celta slightly preferred.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Celta Vigo hold a slight edge at Balaídos with their possession-based style and Europa League pedigree, though both sides drew 0-0 in their openers and Celta's recent tendency to draw (3 in last 5) keeps this tight; Osasuna's compact 4-4-2 and Budimir's threat on the counter make them dangerous but Celta's home advantage and need to improve their final-third output should see them edge it.

GLM-5.2

Celta Vigo's superior squad quality (Europa League qualifiers last season) and dominant home H2H record (28 wins in 40 at Balaídos) make them favorites, but both teams' goalless openers and the pitch issues at Balaídos point to a low-scoring affair where Osasuna's counter-attacking style could keep it tight.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeCelta Vigo
2.00
DrawLevel at 90′
3.33
AwayOsasuna
4.25