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Celta Vigo vs Malaga — predictions and result

Celta Vigo
90-minute result1–1
Malaga
Regular Season - 5Municipal de Balaídos

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H57%D25%A18%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H48%D30%A22%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H53%D27%A20%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H47%D30%A23%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H45%D35%A20%
MissedExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–0
H51%D26%A23%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H44%D28%A28%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H52%D29%A19%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H44%D29%A27%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H44%D30%A26%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–0
H48%D30%A22%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Celta are the established top-flight side with home advantage and clear territorial/passing superiority over newly promoted Malaga, who will sit deep. However, Celta's scoring has been reliant on just Aspas and Starfelt so far, pointing to a narrow, low-scoring win with a realistic chance of a frustrating draw.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Celta are winless but have home advantage and a stronger squad, while Malaga have struggled badly on the road and are missing key defenders. Both teams are in scoring droughts, so a tight, low-scoring Celta win looks most likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Celta Vigo possess the technical quality and passing control to dominate territory at Balaídos against a Malaga side likely forced into a deep defensive shape.

Muse Spark 1.2

Both winless and low-scoring (Celta 16th on 3pts/5, Malaga 18th on 2pts/4, just 3 goals combined in last 10 games) but Celta's passing/territorial edge at Balaidos against Malaga's deep 3-4-3 and winless away record (-6 GD) points to a narrow, low-event home win.

MiniMax M3

Celta Vigo are at home with a favorable fixture run and hold a clear passing edge per the previews, with Aspas and Starfelt providing early-season goals. Malaga, a likely weaker side, should be forced deep but can still threaten on the counter, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome while keeping the draw probability honest given the early-season volatility.

Mistral Large 3

Celta Vigo hold a slight edge in form and passing dominance, but Malaga's defensive approach and the historical tendency for tight matches in La Liga suggest a draw is highly probable. Iago Aspas' presence adds a goal threat, but Malaga's deeper defensive lines may limit clear opportunities.

Kimi K3

Celta are an established top-flight side at Balaídos with a clear possession/territory edge over newly promoted Malaga, who will likely defend deep. However, Celta's attack has been blunt so far — only Aspas and Starfelt have scored this season — so a low-scoring narrow home win is more likely than a rout, keeping draw and away upset chances meaningful.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Celta Vigo's home advantage, superior passing control, and the presence of Iago Aspas up front give them the edge against newly promoted Malaga, though early-season uncertainty keeps the draw probability respectable.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Celta’s home advantage and stronger possession game should allow them to control territory against promoted Malaga. With limited attacking evidence for either side, a tight, low-scoring match is likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Celta Vigo enjoy a strong home advantage with a favorable fixture run and superior passing metrics that should let them dictate territory against a Malaga side expected to sit in a deep defensive block. However, Malaga's compact low block and Celta's limited scoring sources (Aspas and Starfelt the only goalscorers so far) suggest a tight, low-scoring affair rather than a comfortable home win.

Grok 4.5

Celta at home should control possession and territory against a likely limited Malaga side early in the season, with Aspas providing the main threat; low-scoring home win is the modal outcome while draws remain common.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Celta Vigo are at home at Balaídos with a clear passing and territorial advantage, and Iago Aspas provides proven La Liga quality; however, their attack has been narrow (only two scorers so far), and Malaga's likely deep defensive posture keeps a draw very much in play.

GLM-5.2

Celta, at home and coming off a sixth-place finish last season, are the stronger side against a newly promoted Malaga side decimated by injuries (five players ruled out). Both teams are winless and low-scoring, pointing to a tight, low-event affair that Celta's home advantage and superior quality should narrowly edge.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeCelta Vigo
1.71
DrawLevel at 90′
3.77
AwayMalaga
5.30