Celta Vigo
Athletic Club| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H42%D33%A25% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two evenly matched mid-to-upper table sides: Celta's Balaídos home advantage and attacking output offset Athletic's structural solidity and typically stingy defence, and Athletic rarely lose heavily on the road. Low-scoring, tight game with a high draw likelihood.
Both sides are winless and struggling — Celta have 1 point and Athletic 0 after two games, with Athletic failing to register a shot on target at Barcelona. Celta hold home advantage and finished 6th last season to Athletic's 12th, but Marcos Alonso's suspension and Borja Iglesias's injury weaken them, making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Athletic Club bring defensive discipline and potent transition play on the road, but Celta Vigo's attacking rhythm at Balaídos makes a tightly contested draw the most probable outcome.
Celta's Balaídos advantage (2-0 win over Athletic there last season) and Athletic's key attacking absences (Nico Williams, Sancet, Berenguer) give hosts a slight edge despite both coming off Matchday losses (Osasuna beat Celta, Barcelona beat Athletic). Recent H2H trend of both teams scoring in 6 of 7 and Athletic's 9-game run without a clean sheet vs Celta points to a narrow home win.
Athletic Club is the structurally stronger side with a robust defensive shape and quality across the pitch, justifying a slight away edge, while Celta Vigo's decent recent attacking form (9 goals in last 5) and home advantage keep this competitive. A low-scoring draw is the single most plausible scoreline given Athletic's defensive solidity and Celta's limited cutting edge at home against top-half opposition.
Both teams are evenly matched historically, with Celta Vigo showing strong recent form (3 wins in last 5) but Athletic Club's tactical discipline and counter-attacking threat make them formidable. A draw is a highly plausible outcome given the balanced nature of this fixture.
Both sides are winless after two rounds — Celta (1 pt) have home advantage and finished well above Athletic last season (6th vs 12th), winning this fixture 2-0 last year, but they just lost at home to Osasuna and are missing a suspended defender. Athletic, in transition under new coach Edin Terzic with defensive errors already costing goals and doubts over Vivian and Prados, look vulnerable yet still carry quality through the Williams brothers and Sancet, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where 1-1 (last season's reverse H2H result) is the modal scoreline.
Celta Vigo finished 6th last season with Europa League football and continuity under Giráldez, plus new signings Bayindir and Driouech; they beat Athletic 2-0 at Balaídos in December. Athletic finished 12th and are adapting to new manager Terzic's more direct system after Valverde's defensive approach, though their pre-season was solid with only one defeat. Early-season uncertainty and evenly matched squads make a draw the second-most likely outcome behind a narrow home win.
Athletic Club appear marginally stronger overall, but Celta Vigo’s home advantage and recent attacking form make this a balanced contest. A low-margin draw is the most plausible exact scoreline.
Both sides are winless after two games with significant defensive absences — Celta missing suspended Marcos Alonso and Athletic without Eguiluz, Prados, and likely Vivian. Celta finished 6th last season and hold a home advantage, but Athletic's quality (Nico Williams, Sancet, Laporte) keeps them competitive in what projects as a tight, low-scoring affair between two out-of-form attacks.
Early-season La Liga fixture with no league form yet; Athletic Club typically stronger overall and solid away, while Celta are competitive at home but often share points in this matchup. Draw is highly plausible given both sides' balanced styles and the frequency of stalemates.
Celta Vigo's strong recent form (3 wins in 5, 9 goals scored) gives them a slight home edge, but Athletic Club are a well-organized, traditionally strong side whose compact defensive structure can stifle Celta's counter-attacking style, making a draw the single most likely scoreline.
Both sides are winless and struggling early in the season, but Celta finished 6th last year versus Athletic's 12th and have home advantage at Balaídos. Athletic's defensive injuries and zero shots on target vs Barcelona suggest limited attacking threat, while Celta's suspended defender Alonso weakens their backline, making a closely-fought draw the most likely single scoreline.
Celta VigoAthletic Club