Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 3·30 Aug · 19:30 UTC·Estadio Abanca Balaídos·✓ Completed
Celta Vigo flagCelta Vigo
02
Athletic Club flagAthletic Club

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Celta Vigo
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 69% · D 0% · A 31%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Celta Vigo2.76
Draw3.27
Athletic Club2.78

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
37%28%35%1-1✗ miss
38%32%30%1-1✗ miss
34%30%36%1-1✓ hit
44%27%29%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
33%30%37%1-1✓ hit
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
39%28%33%1-1✗ miss
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
33%30%37%1-1✓ hit
36%30%34%1-1✗ miss
32%28%40%1-1✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
42%33%25%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 28% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 30% · A 36%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 30% · A 37%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 28% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 30% · A 37%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 33% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club in the La Liga (Regular Season - 3). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club played?
The match kicked off 30 Aug · 19:30 UTC at Estadio Abanca Balaídos. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
No. The AI consensus picked Celta Vigo, but the match finished 0–2 — Athletic Club. 69% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
Of 13 models: 69% picked Celta Vigo, 0% a draw, and 31% Athletic Club. The consensus pick was Celta Vigo; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Celta Vigo 2.76 · Draw 3.27 · Athletic Club 2.78. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.