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Celta Vigo vs Alaves — predictions and result

Celta Vigo
90-minute result2–1
Alaves
Regular Season - 9Municipal de Balaídos

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H49%D27%A24%
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H42%D31%A27%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H49%D28%A23%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H46%D28%A26%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H40%D33%A27%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H42%D31%A27%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H42%D27%A31%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–0
H43%D31%A26%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Celta are unbeaten in five La Liga games and strong at Balaídos (including a 5-0 thrashing of Racing), while Alavés have slumped badly after a bright start and travel poorly with a low-scoring, defensive setup. Celta's recent run is draw-heavy and they have European minutes in the legs, so a stalemate stays a realistic secondary outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Celta are unbeaten in five La Liga games but have drawn five of eight overall and are missing key attacking options, while Alaves have lost three of four and are poor travellers; that points to a tight, low-scoring contest.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Celta Vigo enter on a five-match unbeaten league run and hold home advantage against an Alaves side whose strong early-season form has begun to fade.

Muse Spark 1.2

Celta are unbeaten in five (1-0-4) with a 5-0 last home win, while Alaves faded after 10 points in first four rounds; Celta's chance-creation but poor efficiency plus midweek European fatigue points to a tight, low-scoring home edge rather than a comfortable win.

MiniMax M3

Celta Vigo's last-five form shows just one win and four draws, suggesting solid defense but blunt attack at home, while Alavés surged early (10 pts in 4) but has slumped since; Celta also have midweek European exertions to factor in, making a low-scoring stalemate the single most likely outcome.

Kimi K3

Celta are unbeaten in five league games and strong at Balaídos (5-0 win over Racing Santander last home outing), while Alaves' bright start (10 points from four) has faded badly since. However, Celta's draw-heavy run (D4 in that unbeaten streak) and midweek European exertions keep the draw probability high, with the H2H history also relatively balanced.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Celta Vigo hold a superior head-to-head record (17-12-10) and impressed with a 5-0 home win last time out, but their five-match unbeaten run contains four draws and they face potential fatigue from midweek European action plus the absences of Swedberg and possibly Álvarez. Alavés started the season strongly (10 points from 4) before fading, giving them enough resilience to make this a tight, low-margin contest where a narrow home win or a draw are the two most plausible outcomes.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Celta’s home advantage and stronger attacking ceiling give them a narrow edge, but their finishing inefficiency, frequent draws and possible European fatigue make a tight match likely. Alaves appear capable of containing them and taking a point.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Celta Vigo are unbeaten in five La Liga matches (including a 5-0 win over Racing Santander) and have strong H2H record at home, while Alaves' early-season surge (10 pts from 4 rounds) has soured in recent weeks. Celta's midweek European duties introduce some fatigue risk, but their home form and Alaves' declining trajectory give the hosts a narrow edge in what should be a competitive, goals-filled match.

Grok 4.5

Celta at home hold a slight edge from recent unbeaten run and H2H dominance, but Alaves' solid early-season resilience and Celta's finishing inefficiency point to a tight, low-scoring draw as the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Celta Vigo are on a 5-match unbeaten La Liga run and thrashed Racing 5-0 in their last home outing, but midweek European fatigue and key injuries temper their edge; Alavés have been in freefall with just one goal scored in their last five all-competitions outings, making a narrow Celta home win the most likely outcome in what should be a low-scoring affair.

GLM-5.2

Celta Vigo are at home and unbeaten in their last five La Liga matches (1W, 4D), including a 5-0 home win over Racing Santander, while Alaves started brightly with 10 points in 4 rounds but have faltered since. Celta's tendency to draw and possible European fatigue temper confidence, but their home form and Alaves' decline make a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeCelta Vigo
2.23
DrawLevel at 90′
3.33
AwayAlaves
3.51