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Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano — predictions and result

Barcelona
90-minute result5–2
Rayo Vallecano
Regular Season - 3Camp Nou

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic3–0
H80%D13%A7%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–0
H72%D18%A10%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle3–0
H77%D15%A8%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta3–0
H73%D17%A10%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H78%D15%A7%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–0
H65%D25%A10%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H72%D16%A12%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–0
H68%D22%A10%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI3–0
H78%D14%A8%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H66%D19%A15%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI3–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–0
H72%D17%A11%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai3–0
H75%D18%A7%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Barcelona at home are heavy favourites against a Rayo side with just one point from two games, squad disruption and a stadium crisis; Barça have kept clean sheets in four straight home meetings with Rayo. Rayo's compact defensive setup keeps a shock draw non-trivial, but a comfortable multi-goal home win is the likeliest outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Barcelona's superior attacking quality and Rayo's disruption from the Ciss stand-off and slow start point to a comfortable home win, with Barca having kept clean sheets in four straight home meetings against Rayo.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Barcelona possess overwhelming attacking depth with Yamal, Lewandowski, and Raphinha, while Rayo Vallecano enter in poor form and disrupted by squad issues.

Muse Spark 1.2

Barcelona have not conceded in four straight home meetings with Rayo and field a full-strength attack, while Rayo arrive disrupted by Pathe Ciss's push to leave, stadium issues and just one point from two games, pointing to a comfortable home win.

MiniMax M3

Barcelona are overwhelming favorites at home against a Rayo Vallecano side in disarray: key midfielder Pathé Ciss is refusing to train to force a transfer, the club has a stadium crisis, and they've taken just one point from their opening two games. Barcelona haven't conceded against Rayo in their last four home meetings, and with a fully-fit attack of Yamal, Raphinha, Lewandowski, Pedri and Fermín, a clean-sheet home win is the clear base case.

Mistral Large 3

Barcelona's home dominance, defensive solidity, and superior squad quality—despite Rayo Vallecano's recent squad disruptions and off-field issues—make them clear favorites. However, Rayo's resilience and potential for a draw are reflected in the 25% probability.

Kimi K3

Barcelona have kept clean sheets in four successive home meetings with Rayo and field a potent attack (Lewandowski, Yamal, Raphinha, Pedri), while Rayo arrive with one point from two games, a stadium crisis and dressing-room disruption as Pathe Ciss refuses to train to force a move. An away upset is unlikely, though Rayo's organization keeps a low-scoring draw or narrow Barça win as the main alternatives.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Barcelona have kept clean sheets in their last four home meetings with Rayo Vallecano, who arrive with only one point from two games and squad disruption as Pathe Ciss pushes for a transfer. Barcelona's superior squad depth and home form make them clear favorites.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Barcelona’s major attacking advantage and strong recent home defensive record against Rayo point to a comfortable win. Rayo’s reported squad disruption further reduces their upset prospects.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Barcelona are strong favorites at home, having kept four consecutive clean sheets against Rayo, while Rayo are hampered by a stadium crisis, squad disruption (Pathe Ciss refusing to train), and just one point from their first two matches. A comfortable Barcelona victory with a clean sheet is the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Barcelona dominate home H2H vs Rayo (unbeaten and clean sheets in recent meetings) while Rayo arrive disrupted by transfer unrest, early-season struggles and defensive frailty; a comfortable home win is the clear modal outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Barcelona have kept clean sheets in their last four home meetings against Rayo Vallecano, and Rayo arrive with significant squad disruption (Pathe Ciss refusing to train) and just one point from their opening two games. Barcelona's strong attacking lineup featuring Yamal, Raphinha, Pedri, and Lewandowski should dominate at home against a destabilized visiting side.

GLM-5.2

Barcelona are overwhelming home favorites with a strong lineup featuring Yamal, Pedri, and Lewandowski, while Rayo Vallecano face squad disruption with Pathe Ciss refusing to train and only one point from two opening games. Barcelona have not conceded to Rayo in four straight home meetings, making a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBarcelona
1.14
DrawLevel at 90′
9.09
AwayRayo Vallecano
17.65