Claude Opus 4.8
Reigning champions Barcelona opened with a 5-0 rout of Elche, boast a perfect home record and a strong H2H edge over Athletic, who arrive on the back of a 3-1 defeat and poor recent form.
La LigaFull time
Barcelona vs Athletic Club — predictions and result
Barcelona90-minute result2–0
Athletic ClubRegular Season - 1Camp Nou
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 3–1 | H72%D17%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H71%D17%A12% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H69%D20%A11% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 3–0 | H73%D17%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 3–1 | H70%D18%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H66%D20%A14% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 3–1 | H68%D19%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H73%D18%A9% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 3–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H70%D18%A12% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H60%D23%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H68%D18%A14% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H62%D21%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 3–1 | H73%D17%A10% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Barcelona opened their title defence with a 5-0 rout of Elche and are near full strength at home, while Athletic lost 3-1 to Sevilla and have dropped four of their last five league games amid absences (Laporte, Nico Williams) and a new coach settling in. Athletic's counter-attacking threat and Barca's occasional defensive lapses keep some draw/upset value, but a comfortable home win is clearly most likely.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Barcelona opened with a 5-0 win and have won their last six meetings with Athletic while conceding just once; Athletic lost 3-1 to Sevilla and are missing key defenders, making a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Barcelona started their title defense with a dominant 5-0 win over Elche and return to Camp Nou in excellent form. Athletic Club, conversely, suffered a 3-1 opening defeat and have struggled recently, making a comfortable home victory highly likely.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Barcelona opened their La Liga campaign in dominant fashion with a 5-0 victory over Elche, while Athletic Club suffered a 3-1 defeat to Sevilla. Given Barcelona's overwhelming attacking potency and home advantage, the hosts are strong favorites to secure a comfortable win.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Barcelona possess overwhelming attacking depth with Yamal and Raphinha, while Athletic Club have struggled for defensive consistency away against elite opposition.
Gemma 4 31B
Barcelona enter as strong favorites following a dominant 5-0 opening win over Elche, while Athletic Club are struggling with poor form and a 3-1 defeat in their first match.
Muse Spark 1.2
Barcelona return to Camp Nou as reigning champions off a 5-0 opening win over Elche with Yamal, Raphinha and Adeyemi available, while Athletic lost 3-1 to Sevilla and have lost four of their last five league games, making a comfortable home win the clear most likely outcome despite Athletic's counter threat through Nico/Iñaki Williams.
MiniMax M3
Barcelona are defending champions coming off a 5-0 demolition of Elche and have an elite attacking unit featuring Yamal, Raphinha, and Pedri at Camp Nou, while Athletic Club opened with a 3-1 defeat and have lost four of their last five league matches, making them heavy underdogs despite their typical resilience.
Mistral Large 3
Barcelona enter as clear favorites due to their dominant start to the season, home advantage, and superior squad depth, while Athletic Club's recent form and defensive vulnerabilities make them underdogs despite their historical resilience.
Kimi K2.6
Barcelona enter their home opener as reigning champions with a perfect Camp Nou record last season and have dominated Athletic in recent meetings, while the visitors are weakened by suspensions and injuries after a 3-1 opening-day loss.
Kimi K3
Barcelona are reigning champions who opened their title defense with a 5-0 win and now return to Camp Nou with a deep attacking lineup (Yamal, Raphinha, Pedri, Fermín), while Athletic arrive after a 3-1 opening defeat and having lost four of their last five league games dating back to last season. Athletic's counter-attacking threat keeps an upset or draw plausible, but Barcelona's superiority at home makes a comfortable win the clear most likely outcome.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Barcelona's dominant 5-0 opening win vs Elche contrasts with Athletic's 3-1 loss and four defeats in last five league games; home advantage and superior attacking depth favor the champions.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Barcelona's superior attacking quality and home advantage make them clear favorites, with Yamal, Raphinha and Pedri offering multiple routes to goal. Athletic Club remain a credible counterattacking threat, but Barcelona are more likely to control possession and limit their chances.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Barcelona are reigning champions playing at Camp Nou and demolished Elche 5-0 in their opener, while Athletic Club have lost four of their last five league matches and began this campaign with a 3-1 defeat to Sevilla. Barcelona's attacking depth with Yamal, Raphinha, and Fermín should overwhelm a struggling Athletic side, though the Basque team's physicality and counter-attacking threat keep a clean sheet from being guaranteed.
Grok 4.5
Barcelona opened with a dominant 5-0 win and host a struggling Athletic side that lost their opener 3-1 and have poor recent form; home advantage and superior squad depth make a controlled Barça win the clear most likely outcome.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Barcelona are reigning champions who opened with a dominant 5-0 win over Elche and boast a deep attacking roster (Yamal, Raphinha, Adeyemi, Pedri), while Athletic Club lost their opener 3-1 to Sevilla and have lost four of their last five league matches, making a home win the clear most likely outcome despite Athletic's capacity to threaten on the counter.
GLM-5.2
Barcelona are reigning champions with a perfect home record last season (19/19 wins), have won all six Flick-era meetings vs Athletic without conceding in the last five, and enter off a 5-0 opener, while Athletic are depleted by injuries and suspension, lost their opener 3-1, and have won just once in 22 Camp Nou visits.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeBarcelona
- 1.22
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 6.93
- AwayAthletic Club
- 12.16