Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 2·23 Aug · 15:00 UTC·Riyadh Air Metropolitano·✓ Completed
Atletico Madrid flagAtletico Madrid
22
Villarreal flagVillarreal

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Atletico Madrid
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Atletico Madrid1.88
Draw3.76
Villarreal4.18

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
48%27%25%2-1✗ miss
52%26%22%2-1✗ miss
61%24%15%2-0✗ miss
58%25%17%2-1✗ miss
56%25%19%2-1✗ miss
52%26%22%1-0✗ miss
52%26%22%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
52%27%21%1-0✗ miss
45%30%25%2-1✗ miss
42%31%27%1-0✗ miss
50%26%24%2-1✗ miss
42%28%30%2-1✗ miss
56%25%19%2-1✗ miss
46%27%27%2-1✗ miss
52%26%22%1-0✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
46%27%27%2-1✗ miss
48%28%24%2-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 27% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 52% · D 26% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2-0
H 61% · D 24% · A 15%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 58% · D 25% · A 17%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 56% · D 25% · A 19%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-0
H 52% · D 26% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 52% · D 26% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-0
H 52% · D 27% · A 21%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME1-0
H 42% · D 31% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 26% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME2-1
H 56% · D 25% · A 19%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 27% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-0
H 52% · D 26% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 27% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 28% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal played?
The match kicked off 23 Aug · 15:00 UTC at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
No. The AI consensus picked Atletico Madrid, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 100% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
Of 17 models: 100% picked Atletico Madrid, 0% a draw, and 0% Villarreal. The consensus pick was Atletico Madrid; the most-backed exact score was 2-1.
What were the betting odds for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Atletico Madrid 1.88 · Draw 3.76 · Villarreal 4.18. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.