Claude Opus 4.8
Athletic Club are strong at San Mamés and generally superior to Sevilla, who have been mid-table and inconsistent; home advantage and a solid defensive base make a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
La LigaFull time
Athletic Club vs Sevilla — predictions and result
Athletic Club90-minute result1–3
SevillaRegular Season - 2San Mamés Stadium
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–0 | H58%D25%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–0 | H59%D25%A16% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D27%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H52%D27%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H52%D27%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Athletic Club are consistently formidable at San Mamés, where Sevilla have a poor recent record, and the Andalusians remain a squad in transition with limited away resilience. A new-manager bedding-in period for Athletic tempers the margin slightly, so a narrow home win is most likely with a fair chance of a low-scoring draw.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Athletic Club's competitive debut under Edin Terzic at a raucous San Mamés, combined with Sevilla's makeshift central defence (Salas suspended, Marcão injured) and Athletic's strong attacking quartet of the Williams brothers, Sancet and Berenguer, tilts this towards the home side; however Sevilla's matchday-one sharpness and Athletic's limited preparation time after the World Cup keep the draw and an away upset firmly in play.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Athletic Club begin a new era under manager Edin Terzic at San Mamés and will be highly motivated to start strong after a disappointing 2025/26 campaign. With Sevilla missing key defender Kike Salas through suspension, the hosts possess the attacking quality to secure a comfortable home victory.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Athletic Club kick off their season at a formidable San Mamés stadium where they boast a solid recent home record against Sevilla. Although Nico Williams may be rested from the start, Athletic's intensity and offensive depth should prove decisive against a Sevilla side missing suspended defender Kike Salas.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Athletic Club hold a distinct advantage at San Mamés with their high-tempo pressing and home strength, while Sevilla remain vulnerable on their travels.
Gemma 4 31B
Athletic Club is traditionally very strong at San Mamés, and the appointment of Edin Terzic provides a new tactical impetus for the home side. Sevilla has struggled for consistency in recent seasons, making the home side the favorites in this opening-period clash.
Muse Spark 1.2
San Mamés debut for Edin Terzic with Nico Williams declared fit gives Athletic the edge despite missing Dani Vivian, while Sevilla arrive with match sharpness from 2-1 win over Rayo but without suspended Kike Salas and with only two away wins in 2026.
MiniMax M3
Athletic Club at San Mamés are strong home favorites, and the new-manager bounce under Edin Terzic in his first competitive match adds further weight. Sevilla are in a rebuilding phase and historically struggle on the road at Athletic, so a tight low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome, with a meaningful draw probability typical of season openers.
Mistral Large 3
Athletic Club, under new management, begin their La Liga campaign at home against a Sevilla side transitioning after recent squad changes. Both teams are historically competitive, and with no prior form this season, a tightly contested draw is highly plausible.
Kimi K2.6
Athletic Club’s potent front four and San Mamés home advantage target a Sevilla defence missing Kike Salas and Marcão, yet Terzic’s side has had no competitive minutes after their opener was postponed and own defensive doubts keep a draw firmly in contention.
Kimi K3
Athletic are strong favourites at San Mamés, having won four of the last six H2H including 3-2 in this fixture last season, and Sevilla travel with a makeshift central defence (Kike Salas suspended, Marcão injured) after needing a stoppage-time penalty to edge 10-man-affected Rayo. The hosts carry some rust — Terzic's competitive debut, Vivian/Egiluz out, and Nico Williams, Laporte and Unai Simón short on preparation after Spain's World Cup win — which keeps the draw and an away upset live, but Athletic's attacking depth (Iñaki Williams, Sancet, Guruzeta) should edge it.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Athletic's new manager Terzic has had only two weeks with his World Cup trio (Simón, Laporte, Nico Williams) and the side looked blunt in recent friendlies (3-1 loss to Marseille, 3-0 to Arsenal). Sevilla arrive with a competitive 2-1 win over Rayo but miss suspended defender Kike Salas. San Mamés is a fortress, yet four of the last six H2H meetings have been won by Athletic; the last home clash finished 3-2. With both sides in transition, a tight, low-scoring draw is the most probable single outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Athletic Club's strong San Mamés home advantage gives them the edge against an inconsistent Sevilla side. Edin Terzic's competitive debut adds uncertainty, so a tight, low-scoring match is likely.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Athletic Club's formidable home advantage at San Mamés gives them a distinct edge, especially against a Sevilla side still adapting to Edin Terzic's system early in the campaign. A tight, low-scoring affair is expected as both teams shake off early-season rust.
Grok 4.5
Athletic at San Mamés under new coach Terzic hold a clear home edge in an early-season fixture against a typically inconsistent Sevilla side; low-scoring 1-0 is the most probable outcome given both teams' defensive tendencies and lack of established 2026/27 form.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Athletic Club's home strength at San Mamés and Sevilla's decimated central defence (Kike Salas suspended, Marcão unfit) give the Basque side the edge, though Terzic's first competitive outing and limited World Cup returnee fitness temper expectations. Sevilla's matchday-one win over Rayo came only through two penalties with a makeshift back line that Sancet and the Williams brothers can exploit.
GLM-5.2
Athletic Club's strong home record at San Mamés against Sevilla (unbeaten in last 5 H2H), superior squad depth, and Sevilla's depleted defense (missing suspended Kike Salas and injured Marcão) give the Basques the edge, though Sevilla's competitive sharpness from matchday one and Terzic's still-bedding-in system keep the draw and away win in play.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeAthletic Club
- 1.75
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 3.74
- AwaySevilla
- 5.10