Athletic Club
Getafe| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H53%D26%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H44%D33%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H55%D28%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H52%D27%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H49%D31%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D35%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H34%D32%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H52%D29%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H47%D30%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H36%D37%A27% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Athletic Club are consistently strong at San Mamés and Getafe under Bordalás travel as a compact, low-block side that rarely produces goals away from home, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game. A narrow Athletic win is most likely, though Getafe's defensive setup keeps the draw well in play.
Athletic Club's home advantage and Getafe's poor away record point to a narrow home win, but both attacks are blunt — Athletic are missing Sancet and Guruzeta, while Getafe have scored only 5 in 9 — and Bordalás sides make games tight, so a low-scoring contest with a high draw chance is likely.
Athletic Club are formidable at San Mamés, while Bordalás's Getafe will set up compactly to disrupt tempo and limit chances, pointing toward a tight, low-scoring home victory.
Athletic Club are favourites at San Mames with superior squad quality, but Getafe remain extremely difficult to score against and Athletic have shown attacking inconsistency, pointing to a tight, low-scoring home win with elevated draw risk.
Athletic at San Mamés should edge a cagey, low-scoring match: Getafe have failed to score in six straight La Liga away games (0-8 aggregate over four away defeats this season) and are the league's lowest scorers, while Athletic — despite Nico Williams' return and a home crowd — have drawn their last three league matches (two 0-0s) with their attack blunt and key absences (Sancet, Laporte, Guruzeta). Getafe's historic San Mamés resilience (winning the last two visits,43% draw rate in this fixture since 1997/98) keeps the draw and an away counter very much alive, but a single-goal home win is the most likely outcome.
Getafe are historically a defensively solid team, especially at home, and Athletic Club have shown attacking inconsistencies. The match is likely to be tight, with a draw being the most probable outcome, though Athletic Club's home advantage gives them a slight edge.
This fixture profiles as extremely low-scoring: three of the last four H2H meetings finished 0-0, 0-1 or 0-2, Getafe have won the previous two, and both attacks are gutted — Athletic are without Sancet, Guruzeta, Djaló, Prados, Vivian and Gorosabel, while Getafe arrive missing Uche, Azon, Juanmi and the suspended Djené, having scored only a handful of league goals all season. San Mamés home edge and Getafe's decimated forward line make Athletic slight favourites, but Bordalás' side is built to grind out draws, so a narrow 1-0 home win with a very live stalemate is the honest read.
Athletic Club are without Guruzeta, Djaló, Sancet and suspended Laporte, severely weakening their attack and defence; Getafe miss defensive anchor Djené but have added Carvajal. Both sides sit on 9 points with poor recent form (Athletic lost 3-1 to Levante, Getafe drew with Rayo and conceded 5 in Europe). Getafe won both H2H meetings last season including at San Mamés. Bordalás' low-block approach and Athletic's creative absences point to a tight, low-scoring contest with draw probability appropriately high.
Athletic Club's strong home advantage makes them favourites, but Getafe's compact, defensively focused approach raises the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring match. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome.
Athletic Club's strong home advantage at San Mamés gives them the edge, but Getafe under Bordalás are defensively resolute, physical, and excel at producing low-scoring, hard-to-break-down encounters, making a narrow home win the most likely single outcome.
Athletic's home strength and physical style give them the edge, but Getafe under Bordalás remain extremely hard to break down with a reinforced defense (Carvajal), making a low-scoring home win or draw the most probable outcomes.
Athletic Club at San Mames carry the stronger squad and home advantage, but Getafe under Bordalas are notoriously hard to break down and Athletic's attack has been inconsistent, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where a single goal could settle it. A narrow 1-0 home win is the most likely scoreline, with the draw given substantial weight given the expected cagey, low-chance game.
The H2H is remarkably draw-heavy with 18 draws in 42 La Liga meetings (43%) and 6 draws in the last 10 encounters, while both sides are struggling offensively — Athletic have scored just once from 30 shots across their last five matches and will be without suspended Laporte, while Getafe have managed only 5 goals in 9 league games under Bordalás. Athletic's home advantage at San Mamés is offset by their poor form and Getafe's historically stubborn record in this fixture, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Athletic ClubGetafe