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Athletic Club vs Elche — predictions and result

Athletic Club
90-minute result1–1
Elche
Regular Season - 5San Mamés Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H60%D23%A17%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H65%D22%A13%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H63%D22%A15%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H60%D25%A15%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H63%D22%A15%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H60%D24%A16%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H55%D24%A21%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H63%D21%A16%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Athletic are formidable at San Mamés and have steadied after a poor start with back-to-back wins, while Elche have lost three straight and shipped 12 goals in four games. Expect Elche to sit deep and be worn down, with Athletic's physicality and set-piece threat decisive.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Athletic Club are in stronger form and hold home advantage at San Mamés, while Elche have struggled defensively, conceding heavily in recent matches. Elche's compact low block may keep it close early, but Athletic's physicality and finishing should secure a home win.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Athletic Club enter this clash in strong form with consecutive victories and formidable home strength at San Mamés. Meanwhile, Elche have struggled defensively, conceding 12 goals in their first four matches and losing three in a row.

Muse Spark 1.2

Athletic have stabilised after two straight wins including a 3-0 over Atletico at San Mames (7.17 avg rating, 6 scored/5 conceded) while Elche have lost three straight conceding 12 in 4 (6.59 rating). At home Athletic's physical pressure should eventually break Elche's compact low block.

MiniMax M3

Athletic Club are strong favorites at San Mamés with home advantage, having stabilized after early defeats with two consecutive wins including a 3-0 thrashing of Atletico Madrid, while Elche are winless in 2026, on a three-match losing streak having shipped 12 goals in four games with markedly lower team ratings (6.59 vs 7.17).

Mistral Large 3

Athletic Club's superior form, home advantage, and defensive stability make them clear favorites, while Elche's defensive frailties and recent struggles suggest they will likely concede but may nick a goal on the break.

Kimi K3

Athletic are strong at San Mamés and arrive in good form, including a 3-0 home win over Atlético Madrid, with a stabilising defence. Elche are winless with a leaky back line (12 conceded in four matches) and will likely sit deep, but their defensive frailties make an Athletic home win the clear most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Athletic's strong San Mamés form including a 3-0 win over Atlético Madrid contrasts with Elche's winless 2026 run and defensive frailties (12 goals conceded in 4 matches), making a home win with a clean sheet the most likely outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Athletic Club's home advantage, physical intensity and improving defensive stability give them the edge against an Elche side showing defensive frailties. Elche's compact approach could keep the score low.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Athletic Club are strong at San Mamés, having recently beaten Atletico Madrid 3-0, while Elche have conceded 12 goals in four matches and are on a poor run of form. Elche's compact low-block approach may keep the game tighter than their defensive record suggests, but Athletic's physical intensity and home advantage should ultimately break them down.

Grok 4.5

Athletic are clear favourites at San Mamés with superior recent form, home strength and defensive stability, while Elche arrive with a poor run, heavy concessions and limited away threat; a controlled home win is the most probable outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Athletic Club are in strong form at San Mamés with back-to-back clean sheet wins including a 3-0 demolition of Atlético Madrid, while Elche sit 19th with the league's worst defensive record (12 conceded in 4 games) and three consecutive defeats. Athletic's home fortress and Elche's fragility make a comfortable home win the clear most likely outcome.

GLM-5.2

Athletic Club are at home at San Mamés, unbeaten in their last three including a 3-0 win over Atlético Madrid, while Elche have lost three straight conceding 12 goals in four matches and remain winless in 2026. Athletic's physical intensity and stabilising defence should overwhelm Elche's fragile backline.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAthletic Club
1.41
DrawLevel at 90′
5.14
AwayElche
7.30