Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 4·5 Sep · 14:15 UTC·San Mamés·✓ Completed

Athletic Club

3–0

Atletico Madrid

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Model	Home %	Draw %	Away %	Predicted score	90-min result	Exact score
Claude Opus 5 i	36%	29%	35%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
DeepSeek V4 Pro i	26%	29%	45%	1-2	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.7 Flash i	35%	33%	32%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Muse Spark 1.2 i	42%	27%	31%	1-0	✓ hit	✗
MiniMax M3 i	42%	28%	30%	1-0	✓ hit	✗
Mistral Large 3 i	38%	30%	32%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Kimi K3 i	32%	27%	41%	1-2	✗ miss	✗
Nemotron 3 Ultra i	38%	32%	30%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
GPT-5.6 Sol i	34%	30%	36%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Qwen3.7 Plus i	37%	28%	35%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Grok 4.5 i	38%	28%	34%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro i	30%	28%	42%	1-2	✗ miss	✗
GLM-5.2 i	30%	34%	36%	1-1	✗ miss	✗

Claude Opus 5 iHOME1-1

H 36% · D 29% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact

DeepSeek V4 Pro iAWAY1-2

H 26% · D 29% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.7 Flash iHOME1-1

H 35% · D 33% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact

Muse Spark 1.2 iHOME1-0

H 42% · D 27% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact

MiniMax M3 iHOME1-0

H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact

Mistral Large 3 iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact

Kimi K3 iAWAY1-2

H 32% · D 27% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact

Nemotron 3 Ultra iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact

GPT-5.6 Sol iAWAY1-1

H 34% · D 30% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact

Qwen3.7 Plus iHOME1-1

H 37% · D 28% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact

Grok 4.5 iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact

MiMo v2.5-Pro iAWAY1-2

H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact

GLM-5.2 iAWAY1-1

H 30% · D 34% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.