Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H26%D29%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H35%D33%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H30%D34%A36% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
San Mames is one of the toughest venues in Spain and Athletic's intensity plus the Williams brothers makes them awkward opponents, but Atletico's reinforced squad (Lookman, Baena, Grimaldo, Hancko) gives them near-parity in quality; these fixtures are typically tight, low-scoring and often level.
Atletico Madrid are unbeaten with a stronger, in-form attack while Athletic Club have several defensive injuries and only one win so far; San Mames keeps Athletic competitive, but Atletico's quality should edge a tight contest.
Athletic Club are formidable at San Mames, but Diego Simeone's Atletico Madrid possess the defensive structure to contain their transitions in what promises to be a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.
Athletic at San Mames with Williams brothers and Guruzeta offer continuity against a heavily revamped Atletico XI (Hancko, Grimaldo, Lookman, Baena, Lee) still gelling and described as in an early-season slump, giving the hosts a narrow edge in a low-scoring game.
Athletic Club's home advantage at San Mames combines with Atletico Madrid being described as in their worst slump of the season, while the Williams brothers and Guruzeta give the hosts a clear attacking identity. Atletico's quality under Simeone and potential new signings keep them in it, but the slump and Athletic's push for European spots tilt the match toward a narrow home win, with a draw well within range given how low-scoring Simeone sides tend to be.
Athletic Club enters the match with home advantage and momentum, while Atletico Madrid is in a slump but remains a strong side defensively. Both teams are likely to create chances, but a draw is a realistic outcome given their balanced strengths and recent form.
Atletico arrive unbeaten and sitting third with superior attacking depth (Lookman, Baena, Lee, Alvarez), while Athletic have won just once in three and are missing several defenders (Eguiluz, Vivian, Prados, Canales). San Mamés is a genuine leveller — Athletic have beaten Atletico four times in La Liga since 2020/21 — so a narrow, competitive away win with the draw very live is the honest read.
Athletic Club's strong San Mamés record and Atletico Madrid's reported early-season slump give the hosts a slight edge, but Simeone's side remains defensively resilient; a tight, low-scoring draw is the single most likely outcome.
Atletico appear marginally stronger overall, but Athletic Club's home advantage and dangerous wide players should make this a close contest. A low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline.
Athletic Club enjoys a strong San Mamés advantage with the Williams brothers and Guruzeta, and they're eyeing a second win of the campaign. However, Atletico Madrid's significantly revamped squad — featuring quality additions like Hancko, Grimaldo, Lookman, and Baena — remains a formidable Simeone side, making this a tightly contested early-season clash where a draw is a very plausible outcome.
Evenly matched early-season clash with no form data available; Athletic's home strength at San Mamés balances Atlético's typical defensive solidity under Simeone, making a low-scoring draw the most probable true outcome.
Atletico Madrid's unbeaten start (W2 D1) and superior attacking depth with Lookman and Baena make them slight favourites despite San Mames being a difficult venue. Athletic are missing key defenders Vivian and Prados, though their recent 2-0 win at Celta and home support keep this competitive.
Atletico Madrid boast the stronger squad on paper with Oblak, Grimaldo, Lookman, and Baena, but Athletic Club's San Mames home advantage and the Williams brothers' threat make this a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible.
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid