Alaves vs Villarreal AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 3·28 Aug · 19:30 UTC·Estadio Mendizorrotza·✓ Completed
Alaves flagAlaves
10
Villarreal flagVillarreal

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Villarreal
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 12% · D 12% · A 76%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Alaves3.20
Draw3.57
Villarreal2.27

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss
33%35%32%1-1✗ miss
29%28%43%1-2✗ miss
32%30%38%1-2✗ miss
28%30%42%1-2✗ miss
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
31%26%43%1-2✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
32%30%38%1-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✓ hit
25%27%48%1-2✗ miss
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
28%32%40%1-1✗ miss
29%29%42%1-2✗ miss
38%32%30%2-1✓ hit
34%30%36%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
29%34%37%1-1✗ miss
30%35%35%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW1-1
H 33% · D 35% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-2
H 29% · D 28% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 32% · D 30% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 30% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-2
H 31% · D 26% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 30% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 27% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 32% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-2
H 29% · D 29% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 30% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 34% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagDRAW1-1
H 30% · D 35% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Alaves vs Villarreal?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Alaves vs Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 3). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Alaves vs Villarreal played?
The match kicked off 28 Aug · 19:30 UTC at Estadio Mendizorrotza. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Alaves vs Villarreal?
No. The AI consensus picked Villarreal, but the match finished 1–0 — Alaves. 76% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Alaves vs Villarreal?
Of 17 models: 12% picked Alaves, 12% a draw, and 76% Villarreal. The consensus pick was Villarreal; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for Alaves vs Villarreal?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Alaves 3.20 · Draw 3.57 · Villarreal 2.27. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Alaves vs Villarreal?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.