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Alaves vs Villarreal — predictions and result

Alaves
90-minute result1–0
Villarreal
Regular Season - 3Estadio Mendizorrotza

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–2
H30%D28%A42%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H28%D27%A45%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H33%D35%A32%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–2
H29%D28%A43%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–2
H32%D30%A38%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H28%D30%A42%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–2
H30%D28%A42%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H31%D26%A43%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H32%D30%A38%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–2
H25%D27%A48%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H30%D28%A42%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H28%D32%A40%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H29%D29%A42%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H38%D32%A30%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H34%D30%A36%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H29%D34%A37%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H30%D35%A35%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Villarreal are the stronger squad and, despite two opening draws, should edge this on quality, though Alavés's home advantage and both teams' scoring tendency keep it competitive.

Claude Opus 5

Villarreal have far more quality in the squad (Mikautadze, Ayoze, Moleiro, Pépé) and have already held their own away at Atlético, while Alavés under Quique Sánchez Flores are solid but low-ceiling at home; both sides' games have been open, so goals at both ends look likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Alaves have started well and are tough at Mendizorroza, while Villarreal have drawn both openers 2-2 and have a poor recent away record in this fixture. Both teams carry attacking threat, making a score draw the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Villarreal have shown potent attacking form with consecutive 2-2 draws to start the season, while Alaves have also remained unbeaten. With Inigo Perez's side boasting superior attacking quality through players like Mikautadze and Ayoze Perez, the visitors are well-positioned to secure their first win in an entertaining affair.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Villarreal have displayed high-scoring attacking fluency in early fixtures but remain vulnerable defensively after back-to-back 2-2 draws. Playing away at Mendizorrotza will test them, but their superior top-end talent gives them a slight advantage.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Villarreal boast superior firepower with the likes of Mikautadze, Ayoze Perez, and Nicolas Pepe, though their open style makes for high-scoring affairs. While Alaves are tough to break down at Mendizorrotza, the visitors' attacking quality should give them the edge.

Gemma 4 31B

Villarreal has shown strong attacking resilience, scoring twice in each of their first two matches (draws against Racing Santander and Atletico Madrid). While Alaves are improved under Quique Sanchez Flores, Villarreal's individual quality in attack with Mikautadze and Ayoze Pérez makes them slight favorites.

Muse Spark 1.2

Villarreal's upgraded attack (Pepe, Mikautadze, Ayoze Perez) earned credible 2-2 draws vs Racing and at Atletico, giving them a slight edge despite being away, while Alaves' improved watchability under Quique Sanchez Flores at Mendizorrotza and both teams' open starts keep home win and 2-2/1-1 draw very live.

MiniMax M3

Both sides are unbeaten through two matchdays and have shown open, goal-laden tendencies—Villarreal have played back-to-back 2-2 draws (vs Racing Santander and at Atlético Madrid) under new boss Iñigo Pérez, while Quique Sánchez Flores' Alavés entertain with a retooled attack featuring Boyé and Toni Martínez. Villarreal's superior individual quality (Pépé, Mikautadze, Ayoze Pérez, Foyth) makes them marginal favourites on the road, but the 1-1 scoreline best fits the pattern of two tight, end-to-end contests seen so far.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities in their opening fixtures, with Villarreal drawing twice and Alavés yet to concede but also to win. The draw is a genuine possibility, reflecting their evenly matched form and tactical approaches.

Kimi K2.6

Villarreal possess the superior individual attacking talent in Mikautadze, Ayoze Pérez and Nicolas Pépé, and while Alavés have improved stylistically under Quique Sánchez Flores, the visitors' quality in an open contest should see them claim the win.

Kimi K3

Villarreal field the stronger attacking squad (Mikautadze, Ayoze Pérez, Pépé, Moleiro) and have been entertaining but defensively leaky under Iñigo Pérez, drawing their opening two games 2-2, while Alavés are unbeaten and typically stubborn at Mendizorroza under Quique Sánchez Flores — so an open game with goals at both ends and a narrow Villarreal edge, though the draw is a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Both sides are unbeaten through two rounds; Villarreal have conceded four goals in high-scoring draws against Racing Santander and Atlético Madrid, while Alavés have improved under Quique Sánchez Flores. The defensive frailties and attacking intent point to both teams scoring, with a draw the most probable single outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Villarreal have the stronger attacking lineup and greater overall quality, but consecutive 2-2 draws suggest defensive vulnerability. Alavés’ home advantage should keep this competitive and gives the draw substantial weight.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Alaves are in superior form with 4 points from 2 games (3-0 win over Getafe, 1-1 draw at Rayo) and strong home form, while Villarreal have only 2 points from two 2-2 draws and have conceded 4 goals already. Alaves' attacking momentum at Mendizorrotza combined with Villarreal's defensive vulnerabilities gives the home side a slight edge, though Villarreal's Champions League-quality squad ensures this will be a competitive, high-scoring affair.

Grok 4.5

Alavés sit unbeaten with a solid home win and draw while Villarreal have taken only two points from high-scoring 2-2 draws and have not won away at Mendizorrotza since 2020; both sides' early resilience and attacking output make a low-scoring stalemate the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Alaves are in strong early-season form (4pts, 3-0 home win over Getafe) and Villarreal haven't won away at Mendizorrotza since January 2020, but the Yellow Submarine's superior squad quality (3rd last season, Champions League) and Gerard Moreno's likely return to the starting XI give them a marginal edge despite their defensive fragility (4 goals conceded in 2 games). A third consecutive Villarreal draw is the single most likely scoreline.

GLM-5.2

Villarreal's superior squad quality (3rd last season) is offset by their poor away record at Mendizorrotza (no win since Jan 2020) and defensive fragility (4 conceded in 2 games), while Alaves's strong home form and H2H advantage make a draw the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAlaves
3.20
DrawLevel at 90′
3.57
AwayVillarreal
2.27