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La LigaFull time

Alaves vs Valencia — predictions and result

Alaves
90-minute result0–1
Valencia
Regular Season - 6Estadio Mendizorrotza

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H56%D25%A19%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H52%D28%A20%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H61%D23%A16%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–0
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H52%D29%A19%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–0
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H60%D23%A17%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Alaves are flying at home with 10 points from five and a strong attacking return, while Valencia are rock bottom on one point, have scored just once in five and are under an interim coach after a managerial change. Valencia's low-scoring profile keeps the draw live, but Alaves should edge a modest home win.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Alaves are in strong form near the top while Valencia sit bottom with one point and just one goal in their last five, and Valencia are further weakened by injuries and an interim coach.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Alavés have enjoyed a strong start to the campaign with ten points from five matches, while Valencia arrive in disarray under interim management having collected just one point and scored only a single goal.

Muse Spark 1.2

Alaves are third with 10 points and 12 goals in six games hosting bottom-placed Valencia on one point with one goal in five and an interim B-team coach Oscar Sanchez, plus key absences; home form and Valencia's scoring drought point to a controlled Alaves win.

MiniMax M3

Alavés sit 3rd with 10 points and strong attacking form (12 goals in last 6), while Valencia are bottom with just 1 point, an interim coach in Oscar Sanchez, multiple key absences (Diakhaby, Foulquier, Copete, Agirrezabala) and a dire attacking output of one goal in their last five matches, making a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Alaves are in significantly stronger form, occupying 3rd place with 10 points and a strong attacking and defensive record, while Valencia sit at the bottom with just 1 point, low confidence, and key absences. The contrast in team morale, recent performances, and squad stability makes Alaves clear favorites.

Kimi K3

Alaves have started the season strongly (3rd, 10 points, 12 goals in their last six) while Valencia are bottom with one point, four losses and a single goal in five, and have just sacked their coach with interim boss Oscar Sanchez in charge. With Valencia also missing Diakhaby, Foulquier, Copete and Agirrezabala, a home win at Mendizorroza is the clear most likely outcome, though Alaves' own defeat to Racing Santander last time out keeps some draw/away probability alive.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Alavés sit 3rd with 10 points, 12 goals scored and only 6 conceded in their last six matches, while Valencia are bottom with 1 point, just 3 goals scored and 10 conceded, plus they are under an interim manager and missing several key defenders.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Alaves have the stronger recent attacking and defensive record, while Valencia arrive in poor scoring form and with an interim coach. A low-scoring home win is the likeliest outcome, though the draw remains a significant possibility.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Alaves sit 3rd with 10 points and strong home form (12 goals in 6), while Valencia are rock-bottom with just 1 point, have scored only once in five matches, and face managerial instability under an interim coach. Valencia's depleted squad and dire attacking record make an Alaves home win with a clean sheet the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Alavés sit 3rd with 10 points and strong recent attacking/defensive output at home, while Valencia are bottom with 1 point, one goal in five games, multiple absences and an interim coach, making a home win the clear most likely result.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Alaves sit 3rd with 10 points, strong attacking form (12 goals in 6), and home advantage against a Valencia side in complete crisis—20th with 1 point, just 1 goal in 5 matches, an interim manager, and several key injuries including Diakhaby and Foulquier. Valencia's dire scoring output makes an Alaves clean sheet likely.

GLM-5.2

Alaves sit 3rd with a 100% home record (3 wins from 3 at Mendizorroza, unbeaten at home vs Valencia since 2017), while Valencia are bottom with 1 point, an interim manager, a crippling injury list (Diakhaby, Foulquier, Sadiq, Canos, Copete, Diego Lopez all out), and just 1 goal scored in their last five matches.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAlaves
1.86
DrawLevel at 90′
3.30
AwayValencia
5.10