Alaves
Osasuna| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H39%D30%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D31%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D33%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D35%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H43%D30%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D32%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H40%D29%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H40%D29%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides have made solid starts with seven points from three games, but Alaves' strong home record and mean defence (one goal conceded) give them a slight edge over an Osasuna team that travels conservatively. Historically these meetings are tight and low-scoring, so a narrow home win or a draw are the likeliest outcomes.
Alaves are unbeaten with a strong defensive record and home advantage, but Osasuna arrive on back-to-back wins, making this a tight, low-scoring contest. A draw is a strong single-scoreline possibility, with 1-1 the most likely exact score.
Both sides have started the campaign in strong form with seven points from their opening three fixtures, showcasing organized defensive setups. Given the evenly matched squads and historically tight Basque-Navarrese encounters, a low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.
Both sides arrive unbeaten on seven points after three games, but Alaves' home defensive platform (5 scored, 1 conceded) and higher average rating gives a slight edge; Osasuna's matching D-W-W start and Budimir-led attack keeps it tight and low-scoring, making a draw very plausible.
Both sides enter Matchday 4 level on 7 points (W-D-W for Alavés, D-W-W for Osasuna), with Alavés boasting the league's stingier defense (1 goal conceded in 3 matches) and home advantage, but Osasuna's back-to-back wins and similar overall form make this a tight, low-scoring contest where a 1-1 stalemate is the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
Both teams have started the season strongly, with Alaves showing defensive solidity and Osasuna demonstrating resilience. The draw is a genuine possibility given their recent form and defensive metrics, though Alaves holds a slight edge due to home advantage and consistent performances.
Both sides have started the season identically (7 points from 3 matches, tight defensively), but Alaves hold home advantage at Mendizorroza and have conceded just once so far, while their head-to-head history with Osasuna trends toward low-scoring, under-2.5-goal contests. Expect a cagey, even match where home edge makes a narrow Alaves win marginally more likely than a draw or away success.
Alavés are unbeaten at home with a stellar defensive record (1 goal conceded in 3 matches), while Osasuna arrive on a two-win streak; both teams have strong under-2.5 trends, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
These evenly matched sides are likely to produce a tight, low-scoring contest, with Alaves benefiting from home advantage. Both teams' defensive profiles make the draw a substantial possibility.
Both sides sit on 7 points after 3 matches, but Alavés enjoy home advantage and a tighter defensive platform (1 goal conceded in 3 games). With under-2.5-goal trends strong for both teams at home/away respectively, a narrow low-scoring Alavés win is the most likely single outcome.
Both sides sit level on seven points after three matches, with Alavés strong defensively at home (five scored, one conceded) and Osasuna matching them via recent wins; low-scoring Basque derby patterns and under-2.5 trends in their recent home/away games point to a tight draw as the most likely outcome.
Both sides have seven points from three matches and are in strong early-season form, but Alavés' exceptional defensive record (one goal conceded) and home advantage at Mendizorrotza give them a slight edge; however, Osasuna's historical dominance in this fixture (27 wins from 51 meetings) and the persistent under-2.5 trend in both teams' matches point to a tight, low-scoring affair that could easily end level.
Alaves are unbeaten with 7 points from 3 matches and have conceded just once, while Osasuna also sit on 7 points but with patchier recent form. Alaves' home advantage, superior defensive record, and higher team rating tip a tight, low-scoring affair in their favour.
AlavesOsasuna