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Alaves vs Malaga — predictions and result

Alaves
90-minute result1–1
Malaga
Regular Season - 10Estadio de Mendizorroza

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H54%D26%A20%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H54%D27%A19%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H50%D26%A24%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H62%D24%A14%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–0
H56%D25%A19%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H50%D29%A21%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H43%D29%A28%
MissedExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H52%D26%A22%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H47%D29%A24%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Alaves are at home against a newly promoted Malaga side still without a win, and Mendizorroza is traditionally a tough, tight venue; however Alaves' own five-game winless slide and low goal output keep this a cagey, low-scoring affair with a meaningful draw chance.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Alaves are at home and clearly the stronger side against a promoted Malaga team still winless this season; despite Alaves' own poor recent run, a tight low-scoring home win is most likely, with the draw given honest weight.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Alaves have hit a rough patch recently after a bright start to the campaign, but they have a prime opportunity to bounce back at home against newly promoted Malaga, who remain winless at the bottom of the table.

Muse Spark 1.2

Alaves have home advantage against promoted Malaga who are bottom and still winless after nine games, while Alaves' own five-game winless run (D1 L4) tempers expectations after their unbeaten start (W3 D1); Malaga's proactive style has not yet translated into results away from home.

MiniMax M3

Malaga are winless all season and were beaten by Celta recently, while Alaves have the better squad and home advantage despite their own five-game winless slide. Alaves should be clear favourites, though the hosts' poor recent run keeps the draw and a narrow margin realistic.

Mistral Large 3

Alaves are on a poor run but remain significantly stronger than Malaga, who are winless this season and struggling at the bottom of the table. The historical head-to-head record and Alaves' home advantage further tilt the balance in their favor, though Malaga's proactive style and Alaves' recent dip in form justify a meaningful draw probability.

Kimi K3

Alaves are on a five-game winless slide but remain an established top-flight side at home, while newly promoted Malaga are the league's only winless team after nine rounds despite their proactive style; the quality gap and home advantage favour Alaves in a likely low-scoring game, though both teams' poor form keeps the draw a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Alaves at home against winless promoted side Malaga; despite Alaves' recent winless run (D1 L4), the quality gap and home advantage favor them, though their poor form keeps draw probability elevated.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Home advantage and Málaga's winless start give Alavés the edge, although Alavés' own five-match winless run makes a tight, low-scoring contest likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Alaves hold a strong historical edge over Malaga and have home advantage, but their form has nosedived with five games winless (D1, L4). Malaga are the league's only winless side after promotion, yet both teams' attacking struggles point to a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible.

Grok 4.5

Alaves are clear home favourites against winless, newly promoted Malaga despite their own recent five-game winless skid; historical H2H is even but current squad quality and home advantage make a low-scoring home win the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Malaga are the league's only winless side after promotion and sit bottom, while Alaves — despite a five-game winless slide (D1, L4) — started strongly with W3 D1 in their opening four and return home where they should have the quality edge. Alaves' recent defensive wobbles make a clean sheet less certain, so 2-1 is the likeliest scoreline in a game the hosts should still control.

GLM-5.2

Alaves have earned 9 of their 11 points at home and face a Malaga side that is winless in 9 matches (D4 L5) with just 1 point from 4 away games and only 4 goals scored all season. While Alaves are on a poor run themselves (L-L-D-L-L), Malaga's attacking impotence and tendency to lose by 2+ goals make a home win the most likely outcome, though the draw carries real weight given both teams' recent struggles.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAlaves
1.70
DrawLevel at 90′
3.81
AwayMalaga
5.35