Claude Opus 4.8
Opening-day home fixture at Mendizorroza favors Alaves slightly, and both teams are defensively organized low-scoring sides, pointing to a tight game with a strong draw likelihood.
La LigaFull time
Alaves vs Getafe — predictions and result
Alaves90-minute result3–0
GetafeRegular Season - 1Estadio Mendizorrotza
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–0 | H40%D32%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H39%D30%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D34%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D36%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H40%D33%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H33%D34%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H41%D30%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H37%D34%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H38%D31%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Two of La Liga's most conservative, low-scoring sides meet on opening day, so a tight, tactical game with few goals is likely; Alaves get a modest edge from Mendizorroza, where they are traditionally awkward opponents, but Getafe's defensive structure keeps the draw and away win very live.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Alavés have a narrow home edge at Mendizorroza and Getafe's attack has looked blunt, but Getafe's compact, defensive style should keep the opener tight and low-scoring.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Opening day fixtures are often tight and low-scoring, especially involving a defensively resolute side like Getafe. Alaves have the home advantage and are slight favorites, but a closely contested draw is highly likely given Getafe's stubbornness.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
With both sides starting the new campaign under defensively-minded managers, a tight and low-scoring encounter is expected at Mendizorroza. Given Getafe's solid organization under José Bordalás and Alavés's home advantage, a closely contested draw is the most probable outcome.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Opening weekend encounters between Alaves and Getafe are typically tight, physical battles dominated by strong defensive organization. Given their extensive head-to-head history of low-scoring games and draws, a close contest with few chances is expected.
Gemma 4 31B
Opening day fixtures between two tactically disciplined sides often result in low-scoring affairs. While Alaves has home advantage, Getafe's defensive resilience and the historical tendency for these teams to cancel each other out suggest a high probability of a draw.
Muse Spark 1.2
Alaves have home advantage at Mendizorroza and are slight favourites to control midfield in a 3-5-2, but Getafe's defensive low-block (2-0 win in last H2H) and expectation of few total goals makes this a cagey opener with draw highly plausible.
MiniMax M3
Opening-day fixture at Mendizorroza where home advantage gives Alaves a slight edge; research notes flag Getafe as defensively stubborn with a four-match winless streak and a low-total-goals expectation, while the 3-5-2 hosts are tipped as the preferred side but with real risk — supporting a narrow Alaves win as the single most likely outcome, with a substantial draw probability given the cagey nature of matchday-one encounters between two evenly matched, mid-table sides.
Mistral Large 3
Both teams are evenly matched for the opening fixture, with Alaves slightly favored due to home advantage and a strong defensive setup, but Getafe's resilience and recent competitive history against Alaves make a draw the most balanced outcome. Low-scoring affairs are likely given their tactical approaches.
Kimi K2.6
Historical meetings between these sides are tightly contested and often low-scoring, with a high share of recent encounters finishing level, and both teams arrive missing key attackers while set up defensively. A draw is therefore the most likely result, but Alavés’ home advantage and stronger pre-season form make a narrow 1-0 home win the best decisive guess.
Kimi K3
Season opener between two of La Liga's most defensively oriented, low-scoring sides; Alaves get the edge at Mendizorroza, but Getafe's last H2H was a 2-0 Getafe win and previews point to a tight, low-goal contest where the draw carries real weight.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Season opener with both sides unproven competitively; last H2H was Getafe 2-0 but Alaves at home with slight pre-season edge. Sources note low total goals expected and tactical caution, making a tight draw the single most likely outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
This looks like a low-scoring, tactically cautious opener between evenly matched sides. Home advantage gives Alavés a narrow edge, but Getafe’s recent 2-0 head-to-head win makes the draw and away win significant possibilities.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Opening-day fixture between two evenly matched sides with limited pre-season data; Alaves hold a marginal home advantage at Mendizorroza, but Getafe's trademark defensive discipline and low-scoring tendencies (last H2H 2-0, four winless) keep this extremely tight. A narrow home win in a cagey, low-event game is the single most likely outcome, though the draw probability is genuinely elevated.
Grok 4.5
Opening-day La Liga fixture between two defensively oriented mid-to-lower table sides; Alaves home advantage at Mendizorroza edges a low-scoring contest, with draws historically frequent in this matchup and both teams likely prioritizing structure over open play.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Alaves carry home advantage at Mendizorroza and are the slight favorites per preview sources, while Getafe's defensive, low-block style and four-match winless run suggest they'll struggle to threaten. Opening-day rust and Getafe's typical physicality make a tight, low-scoring contest most likely.
GLM-5.2
Opening-day fixture between two mid-table La Liga sides with Alaves holding home advantage at Mendizorroza, but Getafe's notoriously defensive style under Bordalás makes this a tight, low-scoring affair. Getafe's four-match winless run and Alaves being slight favourites are offset by Getafe's historical resilience, pointing toward a cagey draw as a strong possibility.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeAlaves
- 2.37
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 2.83
- AwayGetafe
- 3.88