Tottenham
Newcastle| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H34%D27%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–2 | H33%D34%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H34%D26%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H31%D25%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–2 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Spurs are short of creativity at home with Maddison, Kulusevski, Sarr and Odobert out and new signings still bedding in, while Newcastle arrive on the back of an impressive, vertical Jaissle display against Liverpool with Wissa in excellent form and hold a strong recent head-to-head record in this fixture. Newcastle's historically poor away record (four wins in 22) keeps it close, so a tight, low-scoring game with a real chance of a draw is the likeliest shape.
Both defences look unsettled and both attacks have enough quality to score, while Newcastle's strong recent record at Spurs and Tottenham's injury-hit creative core point toward an open, high-scoring draw rather than a clear winner.
Tottenham hold home advantage and possess dynamic attacking firepower through Savio and Marmoush, though Newcastle's dangerous counter-attack should make this a tightly contested clash.
Tottenham are struggling with significant injuries to key creators like Maddison and Kulusevski, while Newcastle appear strong with the addition of Nico Gonzalez and the form of Yoane Wissa. Given Spurs' inconsistency and Newcastle's attacking momentum, a closely contested draw is a highly probable outcome.
Tottenham's chance-creation crisis with Maddison, Kulusevski out and Kudus only possibly on the bench plus an unfamiliar XI (van Hecke, Bentancur in) meets Newcastle's in-form attack (Wissa Player-of-Weekend contender vs Liverpool, Barnes starring in 3-2 EFL Cup win) and aggressive press under Jaissle, tilting a tight game slightly to the visitors despite Spurs' home advantage.
Tottenham are significantly depleted with Maddison, Kulusevski, Sarr and Odobert injured, crippling their chance creation, while Newcastle arrive with new signings (Savio, Marmoush, Gonzalez) bedding in alongside an in-form Wissa and Barnes; Spurs' home advantage keeps this competitive but Newcastle's stronger squad availability and historical edge at the Lane tilt the balance toward the visitors.
Tottenham's attacking depth is compromised by injuries to key creators, while Newcastle's aggressive press and resilience (evident in their recent performances) make them a tough opponent. However, Tottenham's home advantage and potential return of key players like Kudus could tip the balance slightly in their favor, though a draw is highly plausible.
Spurs were dismantled 3-0 at Brentford on opening day (26 shots conceded) and remain without Maddison, Kulusevski, Sarr and Odobert, with Kudus only fit for the bench, while Newcastle carried real momentum from an impressive 2-2 with Liverpool (Wissa starred) and a 3-2 cup win, plus a strong recent record in this fixture. Home advantage and Spurs' new signings (Savio, Marmoush, Tonali facing his old club) keep them competitive, but Newcastle's counter-attacking edge makes an away win the most likely outcome.
Tottenham are missing key creators Maddison, Kulusevski, Sarr and Odobert, while Newcastle arrive with Wissa in excellent form, Barnes scoring freely, and new signings Gonzalez and Tonali bolstering midfield; Spurs' home advantage is offset by an unfamiliar defensive setup and blunt attack.
Tottenham's chance creation is weakened by several attacking-midfield absences, while Newcastle arrive with stronger attacking momentum and a press that could trouble an unfamiliar Spurs lineup. Home advantage keeps Tottenham competitive, but Newcastle are more likely to edge the match.
Tottenham are severely depleted in attacking areas with Maddison, Kulusevski, and others sidelined, leaving them with major chance creation issues. Newcastle enter in excellent form following an impressive opening-day win over Liverpool, boasting a confident attack led by Yoane Wissa and Harvey Barnes.
Early-season meeting with both sides still integrating new personnel and Spurs missing key creators (Maddison, Kulusevski); Newcastle's attacking threat and Spurs' home edge balance toward a tight, low-scoring draw as the modal outcome.
Tottenham's severe injury crisis (Maddison, Kulusevski, Sarr all out) and humiliating 3-0 GW1 loss to Brentford leave them vulnerable, while Newcastle showed strong form drawing 2-2 with Liverpool and have won the last three head-to-head meetings. Newcastle's attacking depth with Wissa and Barnes firing gives them the edge at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Both teams are in transition under new managers with significant injury lists and defensive vulnerabilities — Tottenham are missing most of their creative midfield (Kulusevski, Simons, Maddison, Sarr) while Newcastle have conceded 2+ goals in both games this season and are missing key defenders. Tottenham's strong home opener record (5 straight wins, 14-1 aggregate) is counterbalanced by Newcastle winning 3 of their last 4 visits to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and Spurs losing 6 of the last 8 H2H meetings, making a high-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
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