Tottenham
Coventry| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H46%D28%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H54%D25%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H47%D26%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H43%D27%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Spurs are winless after six games, 20th with just three goals scored and missing Savinho, Bergvall and the suspended Bentancur, while Lampard's Coventry arrive on back-to-back wins including a 4-1 demolition of Newcastle. Tottenham's far superior squad, home advantage and heavy xG underperformance (suggesting positive regression) make them narrow favourites, but in a likely low-scoring game the draw carries real weight.
Tottenham's superior individual quality and home advantage should edge out a Coventry side with a poor away defensive record, though Spurs' winless recent run and a draw-prone matchup keep the away and draw chances meaningful.
Tottenham possess a significant quality advantage across the pitch and should find enough attacking rhythm to edge newly-promoted Coventry at home, though their shaky defensive record means the visitors will likely find chances on the counter.
Tottenham's squad quality and home advantage still make them narrow favourites over promoted Coventry, but Spurs' winless run (0% win rate, 0.8 goals per game, three straight home defeats) and Coventry's flexible setup under Lampard keep draw and away upset very live - BTTS trend points to 2-1 or 1-1.
Tottenham's alarming home form—zero wins in three, just 0.8 goals per game, and both teams scoring in 60% of fixtures—neutralizes their home advantage against a newly-promoted Coventry side managed by Frank Lampard, whose defensive setup should frustrate Spurs; the combination of Spurs' attacking impotence at home and Coventry's limited away firepower points most strongly to a low-scoring draw, though an upset Coventry win is a genuine live outcome.
Tottenham are in crisis under De Zerbi — winless this season with three straight home league defeats and only 0.8 goals per game — which keeps the draw and a Coventry upset very live. Still, Spurs' superior squad quality (Tonali, Kudus, Solanke) and Coventry's poor away defensive record as a newly promoted side make a narrow home win the most likely single outcome, with both teams scoring a recurring pattern in Spurs' matches.
Tottenham have lost all three home league matches this season and average only 0.8 goals per game, while newly-promoted Coventry offer defensive resilience; both sides have seen both teams score in 60% of Spurs' fixtures, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw as the most likely single outcome.
Tottenham’s stronger squad and home advantage make them favourites, but their poor recent output and defensive vulnerability give Coventry a realistic chance. Spurs should create enough to edge a competitive match.
Tottenham's dire home form (0 wins in 3 home league games, 0.8 goals per game) keeps this closer than typical home fixtures, but the Marbella training camp and home advantage against a promoted Coventry side should edge a narrow Spurs win. Both teams score in 60% of Tottenham's matches, making a 2-1 scoreline the most probable decisive result.
Spurs' superior squad quality and home possession dominance should finally yield a first win against a leaky promoted side, despite their chronic finishing issues and injuries; Coventry's recent momentum and counter threat keep the draw and upset live.
Tottenham have lost all three home league matches and carry a 0% win rate, making this far less comfortable than the squad quality (Kudus, Savinho, Solanke, Tonali) would suggest, but De Zerbi's side still have the individual talent edge over a Coventry outfit that will rely on tactical flexibility under Lampard; a tight contest with Spurs edging it feels most probable despite the dire form.
Tottenham have lost all three home league fixtures and hold a 0% win rate this season, but their squad quality (Solanke, Kudus, Tonali, Gallagher) is far superior to promoted Coventry's, and a mid-season Marbella training camp suggests De Zerbi is working to arrest the slump. Coventry's tactical flexibility under Lampard and Spurs' defensive fragility keep the draw and away upset genuinely live.
TottenhamCoventry