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Tottenham vs Aston Villa — predictions and result

Tottenham
90-minute result2–3
Aston Villa
Regular Season - 5Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D30%A31%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H27%D27%A46%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H39%D28%A33%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H31%D26%A43%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H32%D26%A42%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H31%D26%A43%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H25%D30%A45%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H33%D27%A40%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H30%D25%A45%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H32%D28%A40%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–1
H25%D32%A43%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H30%D35%A35%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Two winless sides with broken attacks: Spurs are yet to score in four Premier League games under De Zerbi and are without Simons, Kulusevski, Odobert and the suspended Richarlison, while Villa have one point from four and a patched-up defence missing Torres, Onana and Maatsen. Tottenham's home advantage and territorial control give them a slight edge, but Emery's compact double pivot and both teams' finishing problems point to a tight, low-scoring game with an elevated draw chance.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Aston Villa have a strong recent edge in this fixture, winning all three meetings 2-1 last season and knocking Spurs out of the FA Cup, while Tottenham's home form has been poor and wasteful in front of goal.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Tottenham are likely to dominate possession at home, but their recent struggles to convert chances leave them vulnerable to Aston Villa's sharp counter-attacking structure.

Muse Spark 1.2

Tottenham average 59% possession but remain unclinical and winless at home (0-0 vs Everton last week extending horrendous home run), while Villa are better suited away and won all three meetings 2-1 last season, arriving with momentum from a 3-1 EFL Cup win.

MiniMax M3

Multiple previews describe both clubs as in crisis form, but Villa's strong away tactical setup (per Sporting Life), 3-1 EFL Cup win over Coventry, and last season's pattern of Villa winning 2-1 in all three meetings tilt this toward an away win. Tottenham's home advantage and 59% possession control keep the home/draw probabilities meaningful, with a 1-2 scoreline matching the historical head-to-head.

Kimi K3

Aston Villa won 2-1 in all three meetings last season and knocked Spurs out of the FA Cup, while Tottenham's home form is described as horrendous (including a goalless draw with Everton) and Villa's counter-attacking setup is better suited to playing away. Spurs' 59% possession and signs of improvement under De Zerbi keep a home result live, but the matchup pattern favors another narrow Villa win.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Aston Villa have won the last three H2H meetings 2-1 and knocked Spurs out of the FA Cup; Tottenham's home form remains poor despite possession dominance, while Villa are better suited to away tactics and come off a 3-1 EFL Cup win.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Tottenham may control possession and benefit from home advantage, but their lack of clinical finishing and poor recent home record make them vulnerable. Villa's effectiveness away from home and strong recent head-to-head results give them a narrow edge.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Aston Villa have dominated this fixture recently, winning 2-1 in all three meetings last season and knocking Spurs out of the FA Cup. Tottenham are struggling at home (0-0 vs Everton last weekend) and lack clinical finishing despite high possession, while Villa are in good form after a 3-1 EFL Cup win and appear well-suited to playing on the counter away from home.

Grok 4.5

Villa have dominated recent H2H with three straight 2-1 away wins last season and look better organised under their setup; Spurs under De Zerbi show possession but poor conversion and home fragility, making a narrow Villa win the most likely outcome amid both sides' early-season inconsistency.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Tottenham have failed to score in their first four Premier League matches and their home form has been dreadful, while Villa won 3-1 in the Carabao Cup midweek for a confidence boost and the away team won all three H2H meetings last season by a 2-1 scoreline. Both sides are in crisis, but Villa's slightly better recent form and Tottenham's chronic inability to find the net tilts this toward an away win in a low-scoring affair.

GLM-5.2

Both teams are in crisis — winless and nearly goalless after four matches — which elevates the probability of a low-scoring draw despite the historical trend of no draws in their last 22 league meetings. Tottenham's defensive improvement under De Zerbi (two recent clean sheets) and Villa's attacking struggles suggest a tight, low-scoring affair where a 1-1 draw is the most likely single scoreline.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeTottenham
2.02
DrawLevel at 90′
3.66
AwayAston Villa
3.75