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Sunderland vs Leeds — predictions and result

Sunderland
90-minute result0–0
Leeds
Regular Season - 8Stadium of Light

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H31%D29%A40%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H26%D29%A45%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H30%D31%A39%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–1
H27%D27%A46%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H28%D30%A42%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H27%D29%A44%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H25%D30%A45%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H25%D30%A45%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H24%D31%A45%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H28%D29%A43%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H26%D27%A47%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–1
H19%D29%A52%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Sunderland are bottom with no league win in five, scoreless in their last two home games and coming off a Thursday Europa League trip to Poznan with Isidor still out, while Leeds have conceded only six in seven and are unbeaten away from Arsenal. Leeds are the slight favourites but their own lack of cutting edge (four draws already) makes a tight, low-scoring game with a strong draw chance the likeliest shape.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Leeds are seventh with a much stronger defensive record, while bottom-placed Sunderland have conceded 14 in 7 and struggled for form. Sunderland's home support could keep it close, but Leeds look the likelier winners.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Leeds have proven difficult to beat with four draws in their opening seven matches, while Sunderland's defensive fragility and European fixture fatigue make an away result likely, though home advantage should keep it tight.

Muse Spark 1.2

Leeds are 7th on 10pts with only 6 goals conceded in 7 games versus bottom-placed Sunderland on 4pts with 14 conceded and one win; home advantage keeps Sunderland competitive but Leeds' defensive solidity and superior form makes a narrow away win most likely.

MiniMax M3

Leeds’ greater consistency and stronger defensive record make them slight favourites, but Sunderland’s home support and the prospect of a low-scoring contest make a draw a serious possibility. Sunderland’s limited attacking output points toward a tight match with 1-1 the most likely scoreline.

Kimi K3

Sunderland sit bottom with 4 points from 7 (6 scored, 14 conceded) and look short of confidence, while Leeds are 7th with the division's tightest defensive record (6 conceded) and top-five motivation. Leeds' low-scoring, draw-heavy profile (4 draws in 7) plus Sunderland's home backing keep the draw very live, but Leeds' superior form and defensive solidity make an away win the most likely result.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Leeds United sit 7th with 10 points from 7 games (W2 D4 L1) and a strong defensive record (6 GA), while bottom-placed Sunderland have only 4 points (W1 D1 L5) and have conceded 14 goals. Leeds' away form and Sunderland's defensive frailties point to an away win, though Sunderland's home support and Leeds' tendency to draw (4 in 7) keep the draw probability high.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Leeds have been substantially more consistent, with a stronger defence and just one defeat in seven, while Sunderland sit bottom after conceding twice per game. Sunderland’s home support keeps the draw firmly in play, but Leeds are more likely to win overall.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Leeds are the stronger side (7th, 10 pts, solid defense with only 6 conceded) and are clear favorites, but their remarkable tendency to draw (4 in 7 games) combined with Sunderland's home support and Europa League momentum keeps a stalemate highly plausible. A narrow, low-scoring affair is expected given Sunderland's struggles in front of goal and Leeds' cautious away approach.

Grok 4.5

Leeds sit 7th with a solid defensive record after 7 games while bottom-placed Sunderland have leaked 14 goals; home support and Sunderland's need for points make a low-scoring draw the single most likely scoreline, with Leeds still the likeliest winners overall.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Sunderland sit bottom with just four points from seven (6 scored, 14 conceded) and a leaky defence, while Leeds are unbeaten in six of seven with a solid defensive record and motivation to break into the top five. Home support keeps a draw well in play, but Leeds' superior form and attacking quality make an away win the most likely outcome, most plausibly 1-2.

GLM-5.2

Sunderland sit bottom with just 4 points from 7 and a leaky defence (14 conceded), while Leeds are 7th with only one loss and a solid defensive record. Leeds' high draw rate (4 in 7) keeps the draw probability elevated, but their overall quality and Sunderland's poor form make an away win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSunderland
2.96
DrawLevel at 90′
3.23
AwayLeeds
2.64